Chiefs vs Bills: Don Best AFC Championship Round Odds & Insights for 1/24/2021

The AFC Championship round of the 2020 NFL Playoffs features a matchup between the Buffalo Bills (13-3) (who are 3-point underdogs) and the Kansas City Chiefs (14-2) on January 24, 2021 at 6:40 PM ET on CBS. An over/under of 54.5 is set for the contest.

How To Watch

Time: 6:40 PM EST
TV Channel: CBS

Betting Suggestions:

Kansas City's record against the spread in home games this year is 6-1, and its record at home overall is 6-2.

Betting Information

Chiefs vs Bills: Last 5 Meetings

In the past five meetings between these two squads, Kansas City has a 4-1 advantage over Buffalo. In those games against the Bills, the Chiefs have a 1-0 record against the spread. Kansas City has had the scoring advantage in those five matchups, scoring 106 points while Buffalo scored 81.

Betting Insights: Last Three Games (Both Teams)

• Kansas City has gone 2-0 against the spread and 2-1 overall in their last three contests.
• The over has been familiar to Kansas City. They have gone over the total three times in their last three outcomes.
• The Chiefs have averaged a total of 50.3 combined points over their last three games, 4.2 less than this matchup's over/under of 54.5.
• Buffalo has gone 3-0 against the spread and 3-0 overall over their last three games.
• Buffalo has hit the over two times in their last three outcomes.
• The Bills have averaged a total of 65.3 combined points in their last three games, 10.8 greater than this game's total of 54.5.

Total Facts

• The Chiefs have an average total of 52.2 in their outings this year, 2.3 fewer points than this game's over/under.
• The average over/under for Bills contests this season is 54.8, 0.3 more points than this game's point total.
• Kansas City's games have gone over 54.5 points seven times this season 43.8% of matchups).
• Buffalo has played eight games this year that ended with a combined score over 54.5 points (50% of its outings).
• The two teams combine to score 60.9 points per game, 6.4 more points than this matchup's point total.
• Opponents of these two teams combine to average 46 points per game, 8.5 fewer points than this matchup's total.

Chiefs Betting Insights

• Kansas City has compiled a 14-1 record against the spread this season.
• The Chiefs are 2-0 ATS when favored by at least 3.0 points.
• Kansas City's games have hit the over in all 16 outings this season.
• The Chiefs have turned the ball over 1 time per game this season, while the Bills have averaged 1.6 takeaways per contest.
• When Kansas City turns the football over 1 time or fewer this season, they are 12-2 overall and 12-1 against the spread.
• Buffalo's record this season when they force more than 1.6 turnovers: 8-1 ATS, 8-1 overall
• Kansas City is 6-1 against the spread in home games this year, and is 6-2 overall at home.

Bills Betting Insights

• Buffalo's games have hit the over in 11 out of 16 opportunities this season (68.8%).
• Buffalo has an 11-5 record against the spread.
• The Bills are 5-4 ATS when playing as at least 3.0-point underdogs.
• Buffalo has a 5-3 record against the spread on the road this year, and is 6-2 overall in away games.
• This season, the Chiefs have forced an average of 1.4 turnovers per game compared to the 1.4 times Bills have turned the football over in each contest.
• In games where they turn the football over 1.4 times or fewer this season, Buffalo is 8-1 overall and 5-4 against the spread.
• Kansas City is 4-0 against the spread and 4-0 overall this season when they force at least 1.4 turnovers in a game.

Injury Report

Chiefs:

Clyde Edwards-Helaire: Questionable (Ankle),

Bashaud Breeland: Questionable (Concussion),

Rashad Fenton: Questionable (Foot),

Le'Veon Bell: Questionable (Knee),

Willie Gay Jr.: Out (Ankle),

Sammy Watkins: Questionable (Calf)

Bills:

Vernon Butler: Questionable (Quadricep),

Gabriel Davis: Questionable (Ankle)

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