Don Best Today's Free Picks

GAME: (451) CHICAGO BEARS vs (452) CAROLINA PANTHERS
SPORT: NFL
PICKS: Over
REASON FOR PICK: FREE PLAY: BEARS/PANTHERS OVER 46. The vaunted Panthers defense has given up 75 points in the last 2 weeks. The Bears had zero punts last week. Either they were scoring points or turning the ball over to set up easy scoring opportunities for the opponent. Cam Newton and Jay Cutler are turnover specialists. Each QB will play a role in helping the OTHER team get into the endzone while helping their own team score a few times as well.
GAME: (947) SAN FRANCISCO GIANTS vs (948) PITTSBURGH PIRATES
SPORT: MLB
PICKS: Over
REASON FOR PICK: Your Free play for Tuesday, September 30, 2014 is in the NL Wildcard playoff game between the San Francisco Giants and Pittsburgh Pirates. The Pirates get to host this game for the second straight season as San Francisco comes to town for this one game playoff. The Giants will turn to Ace Lefty Madison Bumgarner (18-10) with a stellar resume and the team 6-1 his last seven starts. He is 11-4 on the road this season with a 2.22 ERA and the Giants are 15-5 in his last 20 road starts. Pittsburgh had the remarkable regular season, a young team that stepped up, but do they have the nerves for October baseball? The Pirates will pin their playoffs on 31-year old Edinson Volquez who has always been erratic, and the team is 2-3 his last five starts. In his last three starts he's walked 9 in 21 innings. The last four years against these Giants he is winless with a 4.95 ERA in 43+ innings. And the Pirates are 3-8 in their last 11 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15. The Giants have been a good over team when installed as the dog, evidenced by their 9-2-1 O/U record their last 12 in that role. The Giants are also 9-4 O/U in their last 13 playoff games. Very low total here and it won't take much to get us over. I'm sticking with the OVER as the Giant bats should come alive against Volquez.