GAME: (311) SAN DIEGO STATE vs (312) FRESNO STATE
PICKS: (311) SAN DIEGO STATE
REASON FOR PICK: Play - San Diego State.
Edges - Aztecs: 5-1 ATS away off SU home win; and head coach Rocky Long 18-7 ATS away in games versus conference foes off a SU win. Bulldogs: 4-11-1 ATS at home versus avenging conference opponents.
With SDSU owning an overpowering rush advantage in this contest (+2.1 net YPR versus Fresno’s -1.1 net YPR), we’ll back the better team as the dog here tonight. We recommend a 1-unit play n San Diego State. Thank you and good lucks as always.
• Check this out: Marc’s Super Pick Play on Friday night’s college football card is supported with a trio spectacular winning angles inside the play that are 25-0 ATS combined. Put it on your ticket now and win good again with Marc Friday night!
GAME: (303) FLORIDA ATLANTIC vs (304) FLORIDA INTERNATIONAL
PICKS: (303) FLORIDA ATLANTIC
REASON FOR PICK: Your Free play for Thursday, October 2, 2014 is in college football as Florida Atlanta and Florida International clash. Florida Atlantic is favored, on a 2-1 run beating Texas San Antonio with 41 points, blowing out Tulsa with 50 points and nearly winning at Wyoming, a 20-19 defeat. The Owls are 14-2 ATS in their last 16 road games, 21-6 ATS in their last 27 games overall. Florida International has home field but has dropped 2 of 3 with no offense, averaging 21.6 ppg. The Golden Panthers are 4-14 ATS in their last 18 games in October. Play Florida Atlantic!
GAME: (371) LSU vs (372) AUBURN
PICKS: (371) LSU
REASON FOR PICK: This is a Free #NCAAF play on the LSU Tigers.
Two weeks after being shocked by Mississippi State in a 34-29 loss, the Tigers head out on the road to face last year's SEC champions Auburn. LSU will start freshman QB Brandon Harris this week, and he's been impressive in limited action so far. Harris has completed 73% of his passes and thrown six TDs and just one pick. "Harris has some ad-lib to his game which is very, very positive," Miles said. "He is really fast and can really throw the ball. He can extend a play so really good things can happen."
LSU defeated Auburn by a score 35-21 at Baton Rouge last year, and it's won six of the last seven meetings outright. The lone loss came by a score of 24-17 at Auburn in 2010, and the bookmakers are giving LSU more than a TD to work with here on the road this week.
Auburn's offense has sputtered the last two weeks, sneaking away with a victory in a close game at Kansas State, and failing to cover at home against the Louisiana Tech Bulldogs last Saturday. It took a whole lot of luck for Auburn to make it to the SEC Championship Game last year. Along the way there were home wins over Washington State, Mississippi State, Georgia and Alabama, and all of those games were decided by seven points or less.
There is every reason to expect this to be a close game, and I still think that Auburn is grossly overrated after getting more than it's fair share of luck in 2013.
GAME: (947) SAN FRANCISCO GIANTS vs (948) PITTSBURGH PIRATES
REASON FOR PICK: Your Free play for Tuesday, September 30, 2014 is in the NL Wildcard playoff game between the San Francisco Giants and Pittsburgh Pirates. The Pirates get to host this game for the second straight season as San Francisco comes to town for this one game playoff. The Giants will turn to Ace Lefty Madison Bumgarner (18-10) with a stellar resume and the team 6-1 his last seven starts. He is 11-4 on the road this season with a 2.22 ERA and the Giants are 15-5 in his last 20 road starts. Pittsburgh had the remarkable regular season, a young team that stepped up, but do they have the nerves for October baseball? The Pirates will pin their playoffs on 31-year old Edinson Volquez who has always been erratic, and the team is 2-3 his last five starts. In his last three starts he's walked 9 in 21 innings. The last four years against these Giants he is winless with a 4.95 ERA in 43+ innings. And the Pirates are 3-8 in their last 11 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15. The Giants have been a good over team when installed as the dog, evidenced by their 9-2-1 O/U record their last 12 in that role. The Giants are also 9-4 O/U in their last 13 playoff games. Very low total here and it won't take much to get us over. I'm sticking with the OVER as the Giant bats should come alive against Volquez.