GAME: (505) MIAMI HEAT vs (506) CHICAGO BULLS
REASON FOR PICK: Your free pick for Thursday, December 5th, 2013, comes in the NBA as Heat and Bulls meet in Chicago at the United Center. Miami can play any style, 5th in the NBA in points allowed, so Chicago will dictate the pace: a slow, defensive style. The under is 30-12-1 in the Bulls last 43 vs. NBA the Southeast. Miami's shooting percentage is so impressive partially thanks to LeBron James, who is shooting 59.8 percent from the field -- by far the best mark of any forward in the league. Chicago is not going to try and get into a running match and teh Bulls play dominant defense for this coach, 2nd in the NBA in rebounds, 4th in points allowed. Miami's win streak has been keyed by defense, on a 4-1 run under the total, plus the under is 5-2 in the Heat's last 7 vs. the Eastern Conference and the under is 11-5 in the last 16 meetings in Chicago. Play the Heat/Bulls Under the Total.
GAME: (149) TENNESSEE TITANS vs (150) DENVER BRONCOS
PICKS: (149) TENNESSEE TITANS
REASON FOR PICK: This is a 1* Free Play on Tennessee.
Obviously, the Broncos are a very good team. That doesn't mean that they can't be over-valued though.
In this case, I believe the number will prove to be a little too high.
Let's check it out.
The Titans have been at their best on the road. In six games away from Tennessee this season, they're 5-1 ATS.
They won outright at Pittsburgh, St. Louis and Oakland. They lost at Indianapolis, Seattle and Houston.
A closer look at those three road losses reveals that none of them came by more than eight points. The Titans lost by six at Houton, by seven at Seattle and by eight at Indianapolis.
The only time that the Titans were double-digit underdogs was at Seattle, a game where they covered the spread.
As for the Broncos, they've now seen four straight games decided by 10 or fewer points.
With three of the Broncos' last four games coming against divisional opponents - and the other a primetime thriller vs. the Patriots - it may be a little hard to "get up" for the Titans.
Despite their 5-7 overall record, the Titans remain in the hunt in the AFC Wildcard race. They know they desperately need this game though, if they want to keep their hopes alive. I won't be surprised to see them keep things much closer than many will be expecting. Consider taking the points.
Don't look now but Ben Burns has cashed three straight football totals, winning by an average of greater than 10 points each. On EARLY Sunday afternoon, this renowned "Totals Expert" UPS THE ANTE w/ a TRIO OF TOP TIER O/U TICKETS.