GAME: (973) TORONTO BLUE JAYS vs (974) HOUSTON ASTROS
REASON FOR PICK: This is a Free play on TOR@HOU to go OVER the total.
The Jays won Game 1 in Houston by a score of 6-5, powered by four home runs, two of those coming off the bat of 30 year old DH Nolan Reimold. We've seen a big over trend at Minute Maid Park during this home stand, as five of the last six have seen nine or more runs scored.
J.A. Happ will return to Houston, where he pitched for three seasons before moving north of the border. Happ (8-5, 4.58 ERA) allowed three runs on four hits, including a pair of home runs through just 5 1/3 innings in a 5-4 win over the Yankees his last time out. He owns a rather sub-par 6.10 ERA in 10 starts on the road this season, and this doesn't look like a particularly good spot for the former Astro.
Houston will hand the ball to Collin McHugh, who is mired in a six-game losing streak. McHugh (4-9, 3.45 ERA) was tagged for four runs on seven hits, including a pair of home runs through 6 1/3 innings in home loss to Miami his last time out. He's been far better on the road than he has been at home, where he's 2-6, 4.75 ERA in eight starts.
The Jays have seen the total go OVER at a rate of 7-3-1 in their last 11 road games.
GAME: (957) MILWAUKEE BREWERS vs (958) ST. LOUIS CARDINALS
PICKS: (958) ST. LOUIS CARDINALS
REASON FOR PICK: This is a 1* Free Play on the St. Louis Cardinals.
The Cardinals are worth the price of admission as they send their best to the hill. The visiting Brewers go with Wily Peralta (12-6, 3.56 ERA); Peralta has won three-straight, but note that hes a pedestrian 3-3 with a 4.98 ERA in six games started lifetime against St. Louis. The Cardinals will feel pretty confident sending out their ace in Adam Wainwright (13-5, 1.92 ERA); Wainwright held the Cubs to zero runs in seven innings to earn a win in his last outing. The big right-hander is 10-6 with a 2.19 ERA and strong 0.89 WHIP in 27 games started life time versus the Brewers and earned a victory going seven strong in his last meeting with them this season. In fact, he was 3-0 with a 2.37 ERA in the previous four matchups and has 28 strikeouts with no walks over 30 1/3 innings. Note that St. Louis is a strong 13-8 versus the Brewers at Busch Stadium the last three seasons and holds a 28-15 advantage overall. Jhonny Peralta is batting .400 with four homers in 14 career matchups with Milwaukee and has three of those longballs this season. Hes 2 for 6 against Wily Peralta. Consider the Cardinals and Wainwright.
GAME: (955) SAN FRANCISCO GIANTS vs (956) NEW YORK METS
PICKS: (955) SAN FRANCISCO GIANTS
REASON FOR PICK: Play - San Francisco w/Vogelsong vs Niese.
Edges - Giants: Vogelsong 7-2 away as opposed to 4-8 home team starts this season, and 30 strikeouts and 6 walks last six team starts. Niese: 1-4 in his career team starts in this series - including 0-2 at home. With the Giants 4-0 the last four games in this series, and Niese in lousy current form with a 6.37 ERA his last three starts, we recommend a 1-unit play on San Francisco. Thank you and good luck as always.
Marc's database has isolated a Top Key Play on Friday night's MLB card involving a team which is favored that should be the underdog in tonight's contest. Put it on your ticket now and win good again with Marc tonight!