Sam Darnold Week 17 Passing Prop Bets - Insights, Tips, and Trends

Sam Darnold and the New York Jets square off against the New England Patriots on Sunday on the road at Gillette Stadium. Here's some betting insights and tips around Darnold's passing prop bets in that matchup. Watch Darnold's Jets face off against the Patriots on CBS at 1:00 PM ET.

Sam Darnold Passing Prop Bets (1/3/2021)

Betting Trends - Completions

• Darnold's per-game passing completions average (17.6) is 2.9 fewer than his prop bet over/under in Sunday's game (20.5).
• Darnold recorded more than 20.5 completions in four out of 11 games this season (36.4% of his chances).
• Darnold's season-long average over/under is 18.9 completions. He has tallied 1.3 fewer completions per game than that prop bet average in 2020.
• Darnold has hit the over on completions prop bets in only five of 11 games this year (45.5% of his chances).
• Darnold has gone over his average prop bet for completions (18.9) in only four of 11 games (36.4%).
• Darnold averages 13.5 completions per game over his two career matchups against the Patriots, 7.0 fewer completions than his over/under in Sunday's game.
• Darnold has failed to eclipse this week's prop bet over/under of 20.5 passing completions in two career games against the Patriots.

Betting Trends - Attempts

• Darnold's passing attempts average (30.0) is 2.5 fewer than his prop bet over/under for Sunday's game (32.5).
• In two of 11 games this year (18.2%), Darnold has attempted more than 32.5 passes.
• Darnold averages 1.9 fewer passing attempts (30.0 per game) than his season average prop bet (31.9).
• In only 36.4% of his games (four of 11), Darnold has hit the over on his passing attempts prop bet total.
• Darnold has thrown the football more times than his average passing attempts prop bet total (31.9) in only 36.4% of his games in 2020 (four out of 11 opportunities).
• In his two career matchups against the Patriots, Darnold averages 30 pass attempts per game, 2.5 fewer attempts than his over/under in Sunday's game.
• Darnold has failed to surpass this week's prop bet over/under of 32.5 passing attempts in two total games against the Patriots.

Betting Trends - Passing Yards

• Sunday's passing yards prop bet for Darnold is set at 216.5, 40.0 more yards than his season average of 176.5.
• In one of 11 games this season (9.1%), Darnold has thrown for more than 216.5 yards.
• Darnold's average passing yards prop bet this season has been set at 220.3. On average, he's fallen short of that mark by 43.8 yards per game.
• Darnold has hit the passing yards over in only one of 11 opportunities this year (9.1%).
• Darnold's season-long passing yards prop bet average is 220.3, a number he's gone over in just one out of 11 games (9.1%).
• Darnold's 126.5 passing yards per game over his two career matchups against the Patriots are 90.0 fewer yards than his over/under in Sunday's game.
• Darnold has failed to beat this week's prop bet total of 216.5 passing yards in two career games against the Patriots.

Betting Trends - Passing Touchdowns

• Darnold is averaging 0.7 passing touchdowns per game, 0.8 less than his passing touchdowns prop bet over/under for Sunday's game (1.5).
• Darnold has put up more than 1.5 passing touchdowns in 18.2% of his games this season (two out of 11).
• Darnold's season average of 0.7 passing touchdowns per game is 0.8 less than the average over/under of his passing touchdowns prop bets, 1.5.
• In just two of his 11 games (18.2%), Darnold has hit the over on passing touchdown prop bets.
• In just two of his 11 games (18.2%), Darnold has scored more than 1.5 passing touchdowns -- his season-long average passing touchdowns prop bet over under.
• Over his two career matchups against the Patriots, Darnold has averaged zero touchdown passes per game, 1.5 fewer touchdowns than his over/under in Sunday's game.
• In two career games versus the Patriots, Darnold has failed to surpass this week's prop bet over/under of 1.5 passing touchdowns.

Betting Trends - Interceptions

• Darnold's per-game interception average -- 0.8 -- is 0.3 more than his prop bet over/under in Sunday's game (0.5).
• In five of 11 games this season (45.5%), Darnold has been picked off more than 0.5 times.
• Darnold has thrown 0.8 interceptions per game this season, 0.5 fewer than his season average prop.
• In just three of his 11 games this season (27.3%), Darnold has gone over his interceptions prop bet total.
• Darnold has gone over his average interceptions prop bet total (1.3 interceptions) in only 27.3% of his games this season (three of 11 games).
• Darnold's two interceptions per game over his two career matchups against the Patriots are 1.5 more interceptions than his over/under in Sunday's game.
• Sportsbooks have set Darnold's interceptions prop bet total for this contest at 0.5 picks, a figure he has exceeded one time in two career games opposite the Patriots.

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