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Patrick Mahomes II Week 17 Passing Player Prop Bets - Insights, Tips, and Trends

On Sunday, Patrick Mahomes II and the Kansas City Chiefs are at home to match up against the Los Angeles Chargers at Arrowhead Stadium. Here's some insights and tips into his passing props in the contest. Watch Mahomes' Chiefs face off against the Chargers at 4:25 PM ET on FOX.

Patrick Mahomes II Passing Prop Bets (1/3/2021)

Patrick Mahomes II Passing Prop Bets
Over/Under Over Odds Under Odds
Completions 7.5 -119 -111
Attempts 12.5 -120 -110
Yards 102.5 -114 -116
TDs 0.5 -129 -101
INTs 0.5 -105 -125

Betting Trends - Completions

  • Mahomes is averaging 26.0 completions per game, 18.5 more than the over/under in Sunday's game (7.5).
  • Mahomes collected more than 7.5 completions in 15 of 15 games this season (100% of his opportunities).
  • Mahomes has averaged 1.6 more completions per game than his season-long average prop bet total (24.4).
  • Mahomes has hit the over on completions prop bets in just seven of 15 games this year (46.7% of his chances).
  • Mahomes has gone over his average completions prop bet total (24.4 completions) in 53.3% of his games (eight of 15 chances).
  • Mahomes' 20.2 completions per game over his five career matchups against the Chargers are 12.7 more completions than his over/under in Sunday's game.
  • Mahomes has surpassed Sunday's projected passing completions total of 7.5 completions five times in five career games against the Chargers.

Betting Trends - Attempts

  • Mahomes has averaged 39.2 passing attempts per game this season, 26.7 more than his prop bet for Sunday's game (12.5).
  • In 100% of his games this year (15 of 15), Mahomes has gone over his prop bet total for his next matchup (12.5 passing attempts).
  • Mahomes has attempted 1.2 more passes (39.2 per game) this year than his season average prop bet (38).
  • In 10 of his 15 games (66.7%), Mahomes has outpaced his passing attempts prop bet total.
  • In 10 of his 15 games (66.7%), Mahomes has thrown the ball more times than his average passing attempts prop bet total this season (38).
  • In his five career matchups against the Chargers, Mahomes averages 33 pass attempts per game, 20.5 more attempts than his over/under in Sunday's game.
  • Sportsbooks have set Mahomes' passing attempts prop bet over/under for this game at 12.5 attempts, a mark he has beat five times in five career games opposite the Chargers.

Betting Trends - Passing Yards

  • Sunday's passing yards prop bet for Mahomes is set at 102.5, 213.5 yards fewer than his season average of 316.0.
  • In 100% of his games this season (15 of 15 matchups), Mahomes has thrown for more than 102.5 yards.
  • Mahomes' season passing yardage average of 316.0 is 8.8 yards higher than his 307.2 average passing yards over/under.
  • Mahomes has gone over on passing yards prop bets in nine of 15 opportunities this year (60%).
  • In eight games this season (53.3%), Mahomes has exceeded his average passing yards over/under of 307.2.
  • Mahomes' 231.4 passing yards per game over his five career matchups against the Chargers are 128.9 more yards than his over/under in Sunday's game.
  • Oddsmakers have set Mahomes' passing yards prop bet total for this game at 102.5 yards, a mark he has outdone five times in five career games opposite the Chargers.

Betting Trends - Passing Touchdowns

  • Mahomes' 2.5 passing touchdowns per game average is 2.0 more than his passing touchdowns prop bet over/under in Sunday's game (0.5).
  • In 15 of 15 games this year (100%), Mahomes has swiped more than 0.5 passing touchdowns.
  • Mahomes' average prop bet for passing touchdowns is an over/under of 2.5 per game, which is the same as his season average.
  • In just six of his 15 games (40%), Mahomes has hit the over on passing touchdown prop bets.
  • In only six of his 15 games (40%), Mahomes has put up more than 2.5 passing touchdowns -- his season-long average passing touchdowns prop bet over under.
  • Mahomes' two touchdown passes per game over his five career matchups against the Chargers are 1.5 more touchdowns than his over/under in Sunday's game.
  • Mahomes has outperformed Sunday's prop bet passing touchdowns over/under of 0.5 touchdowns five times in five total games against the Chargers.

Betting Trends - Interceptions

  • Mahomes throws 0.4 interceptions per game this season, 0.1 less than his prop bet in Sunday's game (0.5).
  • In 26.7% of his games this year (four out of 15), Mahomes has thrown more than 0.5 interceptions.
  • Mahomes has tossed 0.4 interceptions per game this season, 0.1 fewer than his season average prop.
  • In only 26.7% of his games (four of 15), Mahomes has hit the over on his interceptions prop bet total.
  • In only 26.7% of his games this season (four of 15 games), Mahomes has gone over his average interceptions prop bet total (0.5).
  • Mahomes' 0.4 interceptions per game over his five career matchups against the Chargers are 0.1 fewer interceptions than his over/under in Sunday's game.
  • Mahomes has gone over Sunday's projected interceptions over/under of 0.5 picks two times in five total games against the Chargers.

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Get the best football picks and NFL football picks from the industry's most formidable sports handicapping team. Football picks that will keep you winning all season. Get NFL football picks and free football picks from the top guys in the industry. NFL football picks for football betting are offered every day with a complete analysis.
U.S. Citizens Please Note: The information contained at this website is for news and entertainment purposes only. Any use of this information in violation of federal, state, provincial or local laws is strictly prohibited.
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