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Patrick Mahomes II Super Bowl Passing Prop Bets - Insights, Tips, and Trends

Patrick Mahomes II and the Kansas City Chiefs square off against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers in the Super Bowl on Sunday at Raymond James Stadium. Here's some betting insights and tips around Mahomes' passing prop bets in that matchup. Watch Mahomes' Chiefs play the Buccaneers at 6:30 PM ET on CBS.

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Patrick Mahomes II Passing Prop Bets (2/7/2021)

Patrick Mahomes II Passing Prop Bets
Over/Under Over Odds Under Odds
Completions 24.5 -110 -120
Attempts 40.5 -112 -118
Yards 321.5 -114 -116
TDs 2.5 -128 -102

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Betting Trends - Completions

  • Mahomes' per-game passing completions average (25.9) is 1.4 more than his prop bet total in Sunday's game (24.5).
  • Mahomes recorded more than 24.5 completions in nine of 17 games this season (52.9% of his opportunities).
  • Mahomes has averaged 1.1 more completions per game than his season-long average prop bet total (24.8).
  • In only eight of 17 games this year, Mahomes has hit the over on completions prop bets (47.1% of his opportunities).
  • Mahomes' average prop bet for completions is 24.8. He's gone over that total in nine of 17 games this season (52.9%).
  • In his only career matchup against the Buccaneers, Mahomes recorded 37 completions, 12.5 more completions than his over/under in Sunday's game.
  • Mahomes has eclipsed Sunday's prop bet passing completions over/under of 24.5 completions one time in one career game against the Buccaneers.

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Betting Trends - Attempts

  • Mahomes has averaged 1.9 fewer passing attempts per game (38.6) than his prop bet total in Sunday's game (40.5).
  • In nine of 17 games this year (52.9%), Mahomes has attempted more than 40.5 passes.
  • Mahomes has attempted 0.2 more passes (38.6 per game) this year than his season average prop bet (38.4).
  • 58.8% of the time this season (10 of 17 outings), Mahomes has gone over his passing attempts prop bet total.
  • In 10 of his 17 games (58.8%), Mahomes has thrown the ball more times than his average passing attempts prop bet total this season (38.4).
  • Mahomes notched 49 pass attempts in his lone career matchup against the Buccaneers, 8.5 more attempts than his over/under in Sunday's game.
  • Oddsmakers have set Mahomes' passing attempts prop bet total for this game at 40.5 attempts, a figure he has beat one time in one total game versus the Buccaneers.

Betting Trends - Passing Yards

  • Mahomes has thrown for an average of 312.9 yards per game in the 2020 season, 8.6 fewer than Sunday's over/under.
  • In 47.1% of his games this season (eight of 17 matchups), Mahomes has thrown for more than 321.5 yards.
  • Mahomes' season passing yardage average of 312.9 is 4.8 yards higher than his 308.1 average passing yards over/under.
  • Mahomes has hit the over on passing yards prop bets in 10 of 17 opportunities this year (58.8%).
  • In nine games this season (52.9%), Mahomes has exceeded his average passing yards over/under of 308.1.
  • Mahomes' 462 passing yards in his lone career matchup against the Buccaneers are 140.5 more yards than his over/under in Sunday's game.
  • Sportsbooks have set Mahomes' passing yards prop bet over/under for this week at 321.5 yards, a mark he has outdone one time in one total game against the Buccaneers.

Betting Trends - Passing Touchdowns

  • Mahomes' over/under for passing touchdowns in Sunday's game is 2.5, the same as his season average.
  • Mahomes has scored more than 2.5 passing touchdowns in 41.2% of his games this year (seven out of 17).
  • Mahomes' average prop bet for passing touchdowns is an over/under of 2.6 per game. He is averaging 0.1 fewer passing touchdowns per game than that average.
  • In only seven of his 17 games (41.2%), Mahomes has hit the over on passing touchdown prop bets.
  • Mahomes has scored more than 2.6 passing touchdowns -- his season-long average passing touchdowns prop bet over under -- in only seven of his 17 games (41.2%).
  • Mahomes' three touchdown passes in his lone career matchup against the Buccaneers are 0.5 more touchdowns than his over/under in Sunday's game.
  • In one career game against the Buccaneers, Mahomes has gone over this week's passing touchdowns prop bet over/under of 2.5 touchdowns one time.

Odds and insights reflect consensus player props available as of February 4, 2021. As such, there may not be player prop bet data available for all games played.

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U.S. Citizens Please Note: The information contained at this website is for news and entertainment purposes only. Any use of this information in violation of federal, state, provincial or local laws is strictly prohibited.
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