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Patrick Mahomes II Super Bowl Passing Props - Insights, Tips, and Trends

On Sunday in the Super Bowl, Patrick Mahomes II and the Kansas City Chiefs square off against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Raymond James Stadium. Here's some insights and tips around Mahomes' passing prop bets. Watch Mahomes' Chiefs play the Buccaneers on CBS at 6:30 PM ET.

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Patrick Mahomes II Passing Prop Bets (2/7/2021)

Patrick Mahomes II Passing Prop Bets
Over/Under Over Odds Under Odds
Completions 24.5 -110 -120
Attempts 40.5 -112 -118
Yards 321.5 -114 -116
TDs 2.5 -128 -102

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Betting Trends - Completions

  • Mahomes is averaging 25.9 completions per game, 1.4 more than the over/under in Sunday's game (24.5).
  • Mahomes had more than 24.5 completions in nine out of 17 games this season (52.9% of his chances).
  • Mahomes' season-long average over/under is 24.8 completions. He has recorded 1.1 more completions per game than that prop bet average.
  • In only eight of 17 games this year, Mahomes has hit the over on completions prop bets (47.1% of his opportunities).
  • Mahomes' average prop bet for completions is 24.8. He's gone over that total in nine of 17 games this season (52.9%).
  • In his single career matchup against the Buccaneers, Mahomes had 37 completions, 12.5 more completions than his over/under in Sunday's game.
  • Mahomes has beat Sunday's prop bet passing completions total of 24.5 completions one time in one total game against the Buccaneers.

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Betting Trends - Attempts

  • Mahomes has averaged 1.9 fewer passing attempts per game (38.6) than his prop bet total in Sunday's game (40.5).
  • In 52.9% of his games this season (nine of 17), Mahomes has gone over his prop bet total for his next matchup (40.5 passing attempts).
  • The average passing attempt prop bet over/under for Mahomes this season is 38.4. He usually has gone over that number, averaging 38.6 attempts per game, 0.2 more than his average prop.
  • 58.8% of the time this year (10 of 17 outings), Mahomes has surpassed his passing attempts prop bet total.
  • In 58.8% of his games (10 of 17 opportunities), Mahomes has gone over his average passing attempts prop bet total (38.4).
  • Mahomes had 49 pass attempts in his only career matchup against the Buccaneers, 8.5 more attempts than his over/under in Sunday's game.
  • Oddsmakers have set Mahomes' passing attempts prop bet over/under for this game at 40.5 attempts, a figure he has exceeded one time in one total game versus the Buccaneers.

Betting Trends - Passing Yards

  • Sunday's passing yards over/under for Mahomes is set at 321.5, 8.6 more yards than his season average of 312.9.
  • In eight of 17 games this season (47.1%), Mahomes has thrown for more than 321.5 yards.
  • Mahomes' average passing yards prop bet this season is 308.1, which he's exceeded by 4.8 yards on average this year.
  • Mahomes has hit the over on passing yards prop bets in 10 of 17 opportunities this year (58.8%).
  • Mahomes' season-long passing yards prop bet average is 308.1, a figure he's covered in nine out of 17 games this season (52.9%).
  • Mahomes' 462 passing yards in his only career matchup against the Buccaneers are 140.5 more yards than his over/under in Sunday's game.
  • Sportsbooks have set Mahomes' passing yards prop bet total for this week at 321.5 yards, a figure he has outdone one time in one total game against the Buccaneers.

Betting Trends - Passing Touchdowns

  • Mahomes' over/under for passing touchdowns in Sunday's game is 2.5, the same as his season average.
  • Mahomes has scored more than 2.5 passing touchdowns in 41.2% of his games this season (seven of 17).
  • Mahomes' average prop bet for passing touchdowns is an over/under of 2.6 per game. He is averaging 0.1 fewer passing touchdowns per game than that average.
  • In only seven of his 17 games (41.2%), Mahomes has hit the over on passing touchdown prop bets.
  • In only seven of his 17 games (41.2%), Mahomes has put up more than 2.6 passing touchdowns -- his season-long average passing touchdowns prop bet over under.
  • Mahomes' three touchdown passes in his lone career matchup against the Buccaneers are 0.5 more touchdowns than his over/under in Sunday's game.
  • Mahomes has outperformed Sunday's prop bet passing touchdowns over/under of 2.5 touchdowns one time in one career game against the Buccaneers.

Odds and insights reflect consensus player props available as of February 6, 2021. As such, there may not be player prop bet data available for all games played.

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U.S. Citizens Please Note: The information contained at this website is for news and entertainment purposes only. Any use of this information in violation of federal, state, provincial or local laws is strictly prohibited.
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