Patrick Mahomes II AFC Divisional Round Passing Prop Bets - Insights, Tips, and Trends

In the AFC Divisional Round on Sunday, Patrick Mahomes II and the Kansas City Chiefs take on the Cleveland Browns at Arrowhead Stadium. Here's some insights and tips around Mahomes' passing prop bets. Watch Mahomes' Chiefs take on the Browns on CBS at 3:05 PM ET.

Patrick Mahomes II Passing Prop Bets (1/17/2021)

Betting Trends - Completions

• Mahomes' per-game passing completions average (26.0) is 5.5 fewer than his prop bet total in Sunday's game (31.5).
• Mahomes recorded more than 31.5 completions in two of 15 games this season (13.3% of his opportunities).
• Mahomes' season-long average over/under is 24.4 completions. He has collected 1.6 more completions per game than that prop bet average.
• In only seven of 15 games this year, Mahomes has hit the over on completions prop bets (46.7% of his opportunities).
• Mahomes' average prop bet for completions is 24.4. He's gone over that total in eight of 15 games this season (53.3%).
• In his lone career matchup against the Browns, Mahomes recorded 23 completions, 8.5 fewer completions than his over/under in Sunday's game.
• Mahomes has failed to eclipse this week's prop bet over/under of 31.5 passing completions in one total game against the Browns.

Betting Trends - Attempts

• Mahomes' passing attempts average (39.2) is 6.3 fewer than his prop bet over/under for Sunday's game (45.5).
• In 20% of his games this year (three of 15), Mahomes has gone over his prop bet total for his next matchup (45.5 passing attempts).
• Mahomes has attempted 1.2 more passes (39.2 per game) this year than his season average prop bet (38).
• 66.7% of the time this year (10 of 15 games), Mahomes has gone over his passing attempts prop bet total.
• In 66.7% of his games (10 out of 15 opportunities), Mahomes has surpassed his average passing attempts prop bet total (38).
• In his only career matchup against the Browns, Mahomes notched 32 pass attempts, 13.5 fewer attempts than his over/under in Sunday's game.
• Sportsbooks have set Mahomes' passing attempts prop bet total for this contest at 45.5 attempts, a number he has failed to eclipse in one career game against the Browns.

Betting Trends - Passing Yards

• Mahomes has thrown for an average of 316.0 yards per game in the 2020 season, 2.5 less than Sunday's passing yards prop total.
• In 46.7% of his games this season (seven of 15 matchups), Mahomes has thrown for more than 318.5 yards.
• Mahomes' average passing yards prop bet this season is 307.2, which he's exceeded by 8.8 yards on average this year.
• Mahomes has gone over on passing yards prop bets in nine of 15 opportunities this year (60%).
• Mahomes' season-long passing yards prop bet average is 307.2, a figure he's covered in eight out of 15 games this season (53.3%).
• In his only career matchup against the Browns, Mahomes notched 375 passing yards, 56.5 more yards than his over/under in Sunday's game.
• Sportsbooks have set Mahomes' passing yards prop bet over/under for this contest at 318.5 yards, a number he has beat one time in one career game versus the Browns.

Betting Trends - Passing Touchdowns

• Mahomes is averaging 2.5 passing touchdowns per game, 1.0 fewer than the over/under of 3.5 set for Sunday's outing.
• Mahomes has put up more than 3.5 passing touchdowns in 20% of his games this season (three out of 15).
• Mahomes' season average of 2.5 passing touchdowns per game is the same as his average over/under passing touchdowns prop bets.
• In only six of his 15 games (40%), Mahomes has gone over on passing touchdown prop bets.
• In only six of his 15 games (40%), Mahomes has put up more than 2.5 passing touchdowns -- his season-long average passing touchdowns prop bet over under.
• Mahomes' three touchdown passes in his only career matchup against the Browns are 0.5 fewer touchdowns than his over/under in Sunday's game.
• Mahomes has failed to exceed this week's prop bet total of 3.5 passing touchdowns in one career game against the Browns.

Betting Trends - Interceptions

• Mahomes averages 0.1 fewer interceptions per game (0.4) than his prop bet total in Sunday's game (0.5).
• In four of 15 games this season (26.7%), Mahomes has been picked off more than 0.5 times.
• Mahomes has tossed 0.4 interceptions per game this season, 0.1 less than his season average prop.
• In only four of his 15 games this season (26.7%), Mahomes has gone over his interceptions prop bet total.
• Mahomes has gone over his average interceptions prop bet total (0.5 interceptions) in just 26.7% of his games this season (four out of 15 games).
• In his lone career matchup against the Browns, Mahomes threw one interception, 0.5 more interceptions than his over/under in Sunday's game.
• Mahomes has gone over Sunday's prop bet interceptions over/under of 0.5 picks one time in one total game against the Browns.

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