Chiefs vs Browns: Don Best AFC Divisional Game Odds & Insights for 1/17/2021

The Kansas City Chiefs (14-2) host the Cleveland Browns (11-5) in the AFC Divisional round of the 2020 NFL Playoffs as double-digit 10-point favorites on January 17, 2021 at 3:05 PM ET on CBS. The over/under is set at 57.0.

How To Watch

Time: 3:05 PM EST
TV Channel: CBS

Betting Suggestions:

Kansas City's home games this season average 49.8 total points, 7.2 fewer than this matchup's over/under (57.0).

Betting Information

Chiefs vs Browns: Last 5 Meetings

In the past five matchups between these two teams, Kansas City has a 4-1 advantage over Cleveland. Kansas City has had the upper hand scoring in those five matchups, totaling 100 points while Cleveland put up 95.

Betting Insights: Last Three Games (Both Teams)

• The Chiefs average total over the last three games is 6.7 points fewer than the 57.0 over/under listed for this matchup.
• Kansas City is 2-0 against the spread and 2-1 straight up over their last three games.
• Kansas City has hit the over three times in the last three contests.
• The Browns total over the last three games is 20.0 points fewer than the 57.0 total listed for this matchup.
• Cleveland has struggled to cover recently, going 1-2 against the spread and 2-1 straight up in their last three outcomes.
• The under has been familiar to Cleveland. They have failed to reach the total two times in the last three contests.

Total Facts

• Kansas City's games have gone over 57.0 points seven times this season 43.8% of matchups).
• Cleveland has played five games this year that ended with a point total over 57.0 points (31.2% of its outings).
• The two teams combine to score 55.1 points per game, 1.9 fewer points than this matchup's point total.
• Opponents of these teams combine to average 48.8 points per game, 8.2 fewer points than this matchup's over/under.
• The Chiefs have an average total of 52.2 in their contests this year, 4.8 fewer points than this game's over/under.
• The average over/under for Browns contests this season is 51.7, 5.3 fewer points than this game's point total.

Chiefs Betting Insights

• Kansas City is 14-1 against the spread.
• Most of Kansas City's games this year -- 16 out of 16 -- have hit the over (100%).
• This season, the Browns have forced an average of 1.3 turnovers per game compared to the 1 time Chiefs have turned the football over in each contest.
• In games where they turn the football over 1 time or fewer this season, Kansas City is 12-2 overall and 12-1 against the spread.
• Cleveland is 5-1 against the spread and 6-0 overall this season when they force at least 1.3 turnovers in a game.
• Kansas City is 6-1 against the spread in home games this year, and is 6-2 overall at home.

Browns Betting Insights

• Cleveland has compiled a losing 6-10 record against the spread this season.
• The Browns have a losing ATS record of 0-1 when playing as at least 10.0-point underdogs.
• Cleveland's games have hit the over in nine out of 16 opportunities this season (56.2%).
• The Browns have turned the ball over 1 time per game this season, while the Chiefs have averaged 1.4 takeaways per contest.
• In games where they turn the football over 1 time or fewer this season, Cleveland is 10-2 overall and 5-7 against the spread.
• Kansas City is 4-0 against the spread and 4-0 overall this season when they force at least 1.4 turnovers in a game.
• Cleveland is just 3-5 against the spread in away games this year, and is 5-3 overall on the road.

Injury Report

Chiefs:

Deon Yelder: Questionable (Groin),

Rashad Fenton: Questionable (Foot),

Clyde Edwards-Helaire: Questionable (Ankle),

Sammy Watkins: Out (Calf),

Willie Gay Jr.: Out (Ankle)

Browns:

Jack Conklin: Questionable (Hamstring),

Stephen Carlson: Questionable (Groin),

David Njoku: Questionable (Hamstring),

B.J. Goodson: Questionable (Shoulder)

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