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Ohio State vs Alabama Betting Preview

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Betting Overview – Ohio vs Alabama

It’s the decider football fans wanted to see in Miami. Joe D’Amico tells Don Best readers how to bet this one…

FREE PICK – Alabama -7

You can get all of Joe D's BIG WINNERS at DonBest.com

Will the Buckeyes Crack or Does the Tide Roll?

In as far back as I can remember, this will be the first National Championship showdown that will be without any doubts or protests.

There is no questioning that these two combatants deserve to be here. They are the last two undefeated ranked teams in the nation, and this is the matchup everyone was hoping for.

Public Reacts

When it was announced that Ohio State would be facing Alabama in Miami, I made the line between -8 and -10 points depending on injuries or illnesses. When it officially came out making Alabama a seven-point favorite, the public immediately bet it up to -8 and it is now floating between -7 and -7.5.

For many years, the favorite won and covered in the title game. Then suddenly it went in the opposite direction with the underdogs not just covering but winning a few contests outright as well.

Following Your Heart Could Prove Fatal

I am torn. When I was a kid in the early ‘70s, my father, a well-respected gambler, turned on the television one Saturday morning to watch a game he had made a big bet on. I took one look at “Bear” Bryant on the sideline, with his arms folded and that stoic look on his face, donning his patented houndstooth fedora and I immediately fell in love with Alabama football. But, sports fans, there are two places your heart doesn’t belong, in love and sports betting. Both can be fatal.

Currently, as an adult and a world-renown handicapper, I instantly put a lean on the ‘dog here with all those points. Especially after last week’s shellacking of a Trevor Lawrence-led Clemson team in the Sugar Bowl. Many in and out of the world of college football felt (including me) that Ohio State did not belong in the CFP. Before last week’s CFP semi-final, I did not feel the Buckeyes would be so dominating on both sides of the ball.

Not just that, but they showed just how good they are by overcoming a seven-point deficit to then outscore the Tigers 42-14. However, there are no more cards up OSU’s sleeve, and the cat is out of the bag now. ‘Bama has seen all they can do. Folks, there are very few coaches as good at preparing a squad for a big game as Nick Saban. And one of the worst rules you can break in sports betting is judging a team solely from their last performance.

Well-Balanced Offence

Saban and Alabama certainly have their work cut out for them. Ohio State has a well-balanced offense and Justin Fields has taken his game to another level. This is an offense well deserving of their praise, ranking 42nd in passing, 5th in rushing, and 8th in scoring. But please take note, that this unit revolves around Fields and his contributions. Last week he got banged up a bit against Brent Venables defense.

There is no doubt he will play. But those ribs might still be tender here and that may be a huge factor. Speaking of injuries, the Buckeyes injured list is so long it rivals that of a weekly Bill Belichick Patriots list (always check status). Something the Crimson Tide doesn’t have to worry about, being just about at full strength.

OSU head coach Ryan Day must be concerned with the vastly improved defense of Alabama. Outside of the shootout with Florida in the SEC Title game, Pete Golding’s stop-unit have held every opponent to 24 or less since early-October.

Barma’s Big Three

On the opposite side of the ball, with Heisman-candidate Mac Jones and the explosive Crimson Tide offense, which accounts for 49.7 PPG, the Buckeyes will not have the same success defensively as last week in getting their opponent off the field.

Bama’s big three, Mac Jones, Najee Harris, and DeVonta Smith will control the clock and keep the OSU defense on the field and more importantly, their offense off it. Mac Jones is smart and savvy and has the luxury being protected by one of the biggest and stoutest offensive lines in college football.

Ryan Day is a smart guy and his team is stacked with talent, but they are not impervious to perhaps being in a let-down situation here either. That game last week vs. the Tigers was a matchup the Buckeyes had circled since being booted from last year’s CFP semi-final by Clemson. Maybe some of the wind just might be out of their sails a bit here.

The Pick

Ohio State is 1-4 ATS the last five following an ATS win and 1-4 ATS the last five vs. teams with a winning record. Alabama is 7-1 ATS the last eight following an ATS loss and 7-1 ATS the last eight vs. the Big Ten.

Being that this line is around a hot number, listen to Smokey Robinson’s mama, and shop around. Get the minus seven and roll with the Tide. Alabama -7

The Handicapper

Joe D’Amico is a third-generation race and sports personality. He boasts decades of experience beating the sportsbook and is a well known face in Las Vegas. He calls upon his impressive connections to maximise profits and minimise expenditure and can help you do the same. Take advantage of Joe’s picks and subscriptions at DonBest.com.

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Get the best football picks and NFL football picks from the industry's most formidable sports handicapping team. Football picks that will keep you winning all season. Get NFL football picks and free football picks from the top guys in the industry. NFL football picks for football betting are offered every day with a complete analysis.
U.S. Citizens Please Note: The information contained at this website is for news and entertainment purposes only. Any use of this information in violation of federal, state, provincial or local laws is strictly prohibited.
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