Houston Cougars vs South Florida Bulls: Don Best Odds & Insights for 2/28/2021

A game after he put up 33 points in an 81-57 win over Western Kentucky, Quentin Grimes leads the No. 12 Houston Cougars (19-3) at home against the South Florida Bulls (8-9) as 18.5-point favorites. The matchup, which airs at 4:00 PM ET on Sunday, February 28, 2021, airs on ESPNU. The matchup has an over/under of 132.

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ATS Records for Houston and South Florida

Houston Leaders

• Grimes leads the Cougars scoring 17.7 points per game.
• The team is led in rebounding by Justin Gorham's 9.5 rebounds per game and assisting by DeJon Jarreau's 4.0 assists per game .
• The Cougars are paced by Grimes from beyond the arc -- he makes 3.0 shots from deep per game.
• Jarreau leads the team with 1.5 steals per game. Brison Gresham collects 1.6 blocks an outing to pace Houston.

South Florida Leaders

• The Bulls go-to guy, David Collins, leads the team in both scoring (12.6 points per game) and assists (3.5 assists per game).
• The Bulls leading rebounder is Michael Durr with 7.3 per game. He also scores 7.8 points per game.
• Justin Brown averages 1.6 made threes per game to lead the Bulls.
• South Florida's Collins has the top spot on the team's steals leaderboard with 1.5 per game and Durr is first in blocks with 0.9 per game.

Houston vs South Florida: Last 5 Meetings

Houston has won all five of its games against South Florida. The Cougars have beat the spread more often than not against the Bulls, holding a 2-1 record ATS in those head-to-head meetings.

Points Insights

• The 76.7 points per game the Cougars record are 7.2 more points than the Bulls allow (69.5).
• Houston has a 13-0 record against the spread and a 15-1 record overall when putting up more than 69.5 points.
• When South Florida gives up more than 76.7 points, it is 0-4 against the spread and 1-4 overall.
• The Bulls score 9.7 more points per game (67.2) than the Cougars allow (57.5).
• In games when it puts up more than 57.5 points, South Florida is 5-0-1 against the spread and 8-6 overall.
• Houston has an ATS record of 0-2 and a 0-2 record overall when its opponents score more than 67.2 points.
• The Cougars have put up a total of 421 more points than their opponents this year (an average of 19.2 per game), while the Bulls have been out-scored by opponents on average this year (by 39 total points, -2.3 per game).

Rebounding Insights

• The Cougars and the Bulls are similar rebounding teams, with the squads averaging and 39.7 and 37.6 rebounds per game, respectively.
• When Houston earns the rebounding advantage they are 13-2 against the spread. When recording fewer boards, South Florida is 0-2-1.
• The Cougars and the Bulls collect offensive rebounds at nearly the same rate (13.8 and 12.9 offensive rebounds per game, respectively).
• When the Cougars grab the most offensive rebounds they are 14-3 against the spread. When recording fewer boards, the Bulls are 1-1-1.
• Both teams thrive on the boards. Houston records an average rebounding margin of +9.7 rebounds per game. South Florida averages a margin of +5.6 rebounds.