Baylor Bears vs Arkansas Razorbacks: Don Best NCAA Men's Basketball Elite 8 Odds & Insights for 3/29/2021

The No. 1 seed Baylor Bears (22-2) are 7.5-point favorites to advance to the Final Four when they match up with the No. 3 seed Arkansas Razorbacks (22-6) in the NCAA Tournament Elite 8 on Monday at Lucas Oil Stadium, airing on CBS starting at 9:57 PM ET.

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ATS Records for Baylor and Arkansas

Baylor Leaders

• Jared Butler leads the Bears scoring 16.6 points per game.
• The squad is led in rebounding by Mark Vital's 6.8 rebounds per game and assisting by Davion Mitchell's 5.3 assists per game .
• Butler connects on 2.5 three-pointers per game, the top mark for the Bears.
• The Bears steals leader is Butler, who collects 2.1 per game. Vital leads the team averaging 0.9 blocks an outing.

Arkansas Leaders

• The Razorbacks leader in scoring is Moses Moody with 17.0 points per game. He also adds 5.8 rebounds per game and 1.6 assists per game.
• The Razorbacks leaders in rebounds and assists are Justin Smith (7.3 rebounds per game) and Jalen Tate (3.9 assists per game).
• Moody makes a team-high 1.9 three-pointers per game for the Razorbacks.
• JD Notae is the steals leader for Arkansas with 1.5 steals per game and Connor Vanover leads the squad in blocks with 1.8 per game.

Points Insights

• The Bears put up 12.6 more points per game (83) than the Razorbacks allow (70.4).
• Baylor is 22-1 overall and 20-0 against the spread when scoring more than 70.4 points.
• Arkansas has a 1-2 record against the spread and a 1-2 record overall when allowing more than 83 points.
• The Razorbacks' 81.7 points per game are 16.4 more points than the 65.3 the Bears allow.
• Arkansas has put together a 19-0 ATS record and a 24-5 overall record in games it scores more than 65.3 points.
• Baylor has a 2-1 record overall and an ATS record of 2-1 in games when its opponents score more than 81.7 points.
• The Bears have put up a total of 479 more points than their opponents this year (an average of 17.7 per game), and the Razorbacks have out-scored opponents by 349 points on the season (11.3 more per game).

Rebounding Insights

• The Bears and the Razorbacks are evenly matched on the glass this season, with the teams averaging similar numbers (35 and 38.6 boards per game, respectively).
• Arkansas is 13-4 against the spread when grabbing more boards than their opponents. Baylor is 7-1 when they lose the rebounding battle.
• The Bears and the Razorbacks collect offensive rebounds at nearly the same rate (12 and 11.3 offensive rebounds per game, respectively).
• The Bears are 15-2 against the spread when they win the battle on the boards. The Razorbacks are 9-2 when they lose the rebounding edge.
• Both teams thrive on the boards. Baylor records an average rebounding margin of +3.9 rebounds per game. Arkansas averages a margin of +3.9 rebounds.