Denver Nuggets vs New Orleans Pelicans: Don Best NBA Odds & Trends for 3/21/2021

Nikola Jokic and the Denver Nuggets (25-16) head into their game against the Zion Williamson-led New Orleans Pelicans (17-24) on March 21, 2021 as a 5.5-point favorite. The game features an over/under of 234.

How to Watch

Time: 3:00 PM EST
TV Channel: ALT

Betting Suggestions:

Nuggets vs. Pelicans Betting Data

Nuggets Betting Data

• Denver has failed to cover the spread more often than not this year, going 19-22.
• The Nuggets' record against the spread as at least a 5.5-point favorite is above .500 at 9-7.
• Denver and its opponents have hit the over in 61% of games (25 out of 41 matchups).

Pelicans Betting Data

• New Orleans has a sub-.500 record against the spread this season: 19-22.
• When the Pelicans are at least 5.5-point underdogs, they're 5-6 against the spread.
• New Orleans hit the over in a majority of its outings this season: 28 of 41 games (68.3%).

Point Total Insights

• Denver's games this year have gone over the point total for Sunday's matchup total (234 points) in 29.3% of opportunities (12 out of 41 matchups).
• In 47.6% of New Orleans' games this season (20 of 42), the total points scored was higher than Sunday's 234-point over/under.
• Together, the two teams combine for 231.2 points per game, 2.8 points fewer than the total of 234 for this matchup.
• This game's over/under is 8.1 fewer points than the 225.9 these two teams combine to allow per game in 2020-21.
• On average, the over/under in Nuggets games is 7.3 points fewer than the over/under of 234 points in this matchup.
• A difference of 3.8 points separates this contest's over/under (234 points) and the average total points bet in Pelicans' games (230.2 points) this season.

Previous Matchups

New Orleans has won a majority of its last 10 games against Denver, going 6-4, while the Pelicans also hold a 2-1 edge against the spread when matched up with the Nuggets.

Nuggets Players to Watch

• The Nuggets leader in points, rebounds and assists is Jokic, who puts up 27.0 points, 11.2 boards and 8.6 assists per game.
• The Nuggets get the most three-point shooting production out of Jamal Murray, who knocks down 2.7 threes per game.
• Jokic and Michael Porter Jr. lead Denver on the defensive end, with Jokic leading the team in steals averaging 1.6 per game and Porter in blocks averaging 1.0 per contest.

Pelicans Players to Watch

• Williamson averages 25.6 points per game to be the top scorer for the Pelicans.
• Steven Adams puts up a stat line of 9.1 rebounds, 8.1 points and 2.0 assists per game for New Orleans to take the top rebound spot on the team. Lonzo Ball has the top spot for assists with 5.6 per game, adding 14.2 points and 4.2 rebounds per outing.
• Ball is the top scorer from distance for the Pelicans, hitting 3.0 threes per game.
• New Orleans' leader in steals is Ball with 1.3 per game, and its leader in blocks is Brandon Ingram with 0.7 per game.

Injury Report

Nuggets:

Gary Harris: Out (Adductor),

Monte Morris: Out (Quad)

Pelicans:

Lonzo Ball: Day To Day (Hip),

JJ Redick: Out (Heel)