Denver Nuggets vs Miami Heat: Don Best NBA Odds & Trends for 4/14/2021

Nikola Jokic and the Denver Nuggets (34-20) will look to fend off Jimmy Butler's Miami Heat (28-26) on April 14, 2021. The Nuggets are a 5.5-point favorite. The matchup features an over/under of 209.

How to Watch

Time: 10:00 PM EST
TV Channel: ALT2

Betting Suggestions:

Nuggets vs. Heat Betting Data

Nuggets Betting Data

• Denver has failed to cover the spread more often than not this year, going 26-28.
• The Nuggets have gone 11-11 against the spread when playing as at least a 5.5-point favorite.
• Denver often hits the over, eclipsing the point total in 30 of 54 games (55.6%).

Heat Betting Data

• Miami has a sub-.500 record against the spread this season: 23-30-1.
• The Heat are 6-11-1 against the spread when at least 5.5-point underdogs.
• Miami hit the over in just 46.3% of their games (25 of 54 games).

Point Total Insights

• In Denver's matchups this season, the Nuggets and their opponents have exceeded Wednesday's point total of 209 points 45 times (83.3% of opportunities).
• In 33 out of Miami's 54 games this season (61.1%), the competing teams combined for more points than the over/under in Wednesday's matchup.
• The point total for the game of 209 is 12.1 points fewer than the combined points per game averages for the Nuggets (114.9 points per game) and the Heat (106.2 points per game).
• The 217.3 points per game these two teams surrender to opponents on average this season are 8.3 more than the 209 over/under in this contest.
• On average, the Nuggets have seen a 225 over/under in their games this season, 16 more points than the over/under in this matchup.
• A difference of 4.4 points separates the average total points bet in Heat's games (213.4 points) and this matchup's over/under (209 points).

Previous Matchups

Denver has a 9-1 record against Miami over the last 10 matchups, while the Nuggets have also covered the spread in two of three games against the Heat.

Nuggets Players to Watch

• The Nuggets leader in points, rebounds and assists is Jokic, who averages 26.2 points, 10.9 boards and 8.8 assists per game.
• The Nuggets get the most three-point shooting production out of Jamal Murray, who knocks down 2.7 threes per game.
• Jokic and JaVale McGee lead Denver on the defensive end, with Jokic leading the team in steals averaging 1.4 per game and McGee in blocks averaging 1.1 per contest.

Heat Players to Watch

• Butler averages 21.4 points and adds 7.2 assists per game, putting him at the top of the Heat's leaderboards in those statistics.
• Bam Adebayo grabs 9.4 rebounds per game (he also scores 19.0 points per game and adds 5.3 assists per game) which puts him at the top of the Miami rebounding leaderboard.
• Duncan Robinson hits 3.5 three-pointers per game, the most on the Heat.
• Miami's leader in steals is Butler (2.1 per game), and its leader in blocks is Adebayo (1.1 per game).

Injury Report

Nuggets:

Shaquille Harrison: Out (Health and Safety Protocols),

Jamal Murray: Out For Season (Knee)

Heat:

Victor Oladipo: Out (Knee),

Goran Dragic: Out (Rest)