Denver Nuggets vs Atlanta Hawks: Don Best NBA Odds & Trends for 3/28/2021

Trae Young's Atlanta Hawks (23-22) will look to secure an upset of Nikola Jokic and the Denver Nuggets (27-18) on March 28, 2021. The Nuggets are a 4.5-point favorite. The over/under for the game is 228.5.

How to Watch

Time: 9:00 PM EST
TV Channel: NBA TV

Betting Suggestions:

Nuggets vs. Hawks Betting Data

Nuggets Betting Data

• Denver has failed to beat the spread more often than not this year, going 21-24.
• When they are at least 4.5-point favorites, the Nuggets have an ATS record of 13-9.
• Denver often hits the over, breaking the point total in 26 of 45 games (57.8%).

Hawks Betting Data

• Atlanta has a winning record (23-21-1) against the spread this season.
• When they're at least 4.5-point underdogs, the Hawks are 9-7 against the spread.
• Atlanta has failed to hit the over in a majority of their games this season, going over the point total in just 21 of 45 outings.

Point Total Insights

• Denver's games this year have gone over the point total for Sunday's matchup over/under (228.5 points) in 44.4% of opportunities (20 out of 45 matchups).
• 19 Atlanta games this year (42.2% of its matchups) ended with a final point total higher than Sunday's total of 228.5 points.
• Together, the two teams combine for 228.3 points per game, 0.2 points fewer than the total of 228.5 for this game.
• This game's point total is 7.0 fewer points than the 221.5 these two teams combine to give up per game in 2020-21.
• On average, the over/under in Nuggets games is 2.1 points fewer than the over/under of 228.5 points in this contest.
• Hawks' games have an over/under of 223.3 points this season, 5.2 points fewer than the total points bet for this matchup.

Previous Matchups

In their last 10 matchups, Atlanta has a 6-4 record in games against Denver, while the Hawks also hold a 2-1 edge against the spread when matched up with the Nuggets.

Nuggets Players to Watch

• The Nuggets leader in points, rebounds and assists is Jokic, who averages 27.2 points, 11.2 boards and 8.6 assists per game.
• Jamal Murray leads the Nuggets in three-point shooting, making an average of 2.7 shots per game from beyond the arc.
• The Denver steals leader is Jokic, who averages 1.6 takeaways per game, while its blocks leader is JaVale McGee, who compiles 1.2 rejections per contest.

Hawks Players to Watch

• The Hawks' Young racks up enough points (25.7 per game) and assists (9.5 per game) to sit atop the squad's leaderboards.
• Clint Capela grabs 14.2 rebounds per game (he also scores 14.7 points per game and adds 0.9 assists per game) which puts him at the top of the Atlanta rebounding leaderboard.
• Young is consistent from deep and leads the Hawks with 2.4 made threes per game.
• Atlanta's leader in steals is Cameron Reddish (1.3 per game), and its leader in blocks is Capela (2.2 per game).

Injury Report

Nuggets: Greg Whittington: Day To Day (Knee), Monte Morris: Day To Day (Quad)

Hawks: Cam Reddish: Out (Achilles), Lou Williams: Day To Day (Trade Pending), Kris Dunn: Out (Ankle), De'Andre Hunter: Day To Day (Knee)