Miami Heat vs Los Angeles Clippers: Don Best NBA Odds & Trends for 1/28/2021

Bam Adebayo and the Miami Heat (6-11) head into their game against the Kawhi Leonard-led Los Angeles Clippers (13-5) on January 28, 2021 as a 4.5-point favorite. A point total of 213.5 is set for the game.

How to Watch

Time: 8:00 PM EST
TV Channel: PRIME

Betting Suggestions:

Heat vs. Clippers Betting Data

Heat Betting Data

• Miami has failed to cover the spread more often than not this year, going 6-10-1.
• When they are at least 4.5-point favorites, the Heat have a record ATS of 1-3-1.
• Miami normally does not hit the over, only topping the point total in 8 of 17 games (47.1%).

Clippers Betting Data

• Los Angeles has a winning record against the spread this season, 10-8.
• When they're at least 4.5-point underdogs, the Clippers are 7-5 against the spread.
• Los Angeles hit the over in a majority of its matchups this season: 10 of 18 games (55.6%).

Point Total Insights

• Miami's games this season have gone over the point total for Thursday's matchup total (213.5 points) in 52.9% of opportunities (nine out of 17 matchups).
• In 12 out of Los Angeles' 18 games this season (66.7%), the competing teams combined for a higher point total than the point total in Thursday's matchup.
• Together, the two teams combine for 220.1 points per game, 6.6 points more than the over/under of 213.5 for this matchup.
• This matchup's point total is 5.8 fewer points than the 219.3 these two teams combine to give up per game in 2020-21.
• This season, the average total for Heat games is 218.2 points, 4.7 more than the over/under of 213.5 points for this contest.
• A difference of 7.7 points separates the average total points bet in Clippers' games (221.2 points) and this contest's over/under (213.5 points).

Previous Matchups

In the last 10 head-to-head meetings, Los Angeles has won seven games against Miami, while the Clippers also hold a 2-0 advantage against the spread when matched up with the Heat.

Heat Players to Watch

• The Heat leader in points, rebounds and assists is Adebayo, who puts up 20.3 points, 8.9 boards and 5.5 assists per game.
• Duncan Robinson makes more threes per game than any other member of the Heat, knocking down shots from beyond the arc at a clip of 3.5 per contest.
• Jimmy Butler and Adebayo lead Miami on the defensive end, with Butler leading the team in steals averaging 2.2 per game and Adebayo in blocks averaging 0.9 per contest.

Clippers Players to Watch

• Leonard scores 25.9 points and adds 5.7 assists per game, putting him at the top of the Clippers' leaderboards for those statistics.
• Serge Ibaka grabs 6.4 rebounds per game (he also scores 12.4 points per game and adds 1.8 assists per game) which puts him at the top of the Los Angeles rebounding leaderboard.
• Paul George is the top shooter from distance for the Clippers, hitting 3.8 threes per game.
• Los Angeles' leader in steals is Leonard with 2.0 per game, and its leader in blocks is Ibaka with 1.1 per game.

Injury Report

Heat: Gabe Vincent: Day To Day (Ankle), Max Strus: Day To Day (Wrist), Maurice Harkless: Out (Thigh), Tyler Herro: Day To Day (Neck), Goran Dragic: Day To Day (Groin), Chris Silva: Out (Hip), Jimmy Butler: Day To Day (Health and Safety Protocols), Meyers Leonard: Out (Shoulder), Duncan Robinson: Day To Day (Quad)

Clippers: Paul George: Out (Health and Safety Protocols), Patrick Beverley: Out (Knee), Kawhi Leonard: Out (Health and Safety Protocols)