Milwaukee Bucks vs Miami Heat: Don Best NBA Playoff Odds & Trends for 5/29/2021

The Milwaukee Bucks (46-26, 3-0) are 5-point favorites heading into a decisive Game 4 of the opening round of the NBA Playoffs against the Miami Heat (40-32, 0-3) at American Airlines Arena on Saturday, starting at 1:30 PM ET on TNT. The Bucks hold a 3-0 lead in the series.

How to Watch

Time: 1:30 PM EST
TV Channel: TNT

Betting Suggestions:

Bucks vs. Heat Betting Data

Bucks Betting Data

• Milwaukee has failed to beat the spread more often than not this season, going 34-40-1.
• The Bucks have not fared well as a 5-point favorite, going 25-27-1 against the spread when favored by at least 5 points.
• Milwaukee and its opponents have hit the over in 56% of games (42 out of 75 matchups).

Heat Betting Data

• Against the spread this season, Miami is under .500: 35-38-2.
• The Heat have a losing record (9-14-2) when they're at least 5-point underdogs.
• Miami has hit the over in 39 of 75 games this season (52%).

Point Total Insights

• In Milwaukee's matchups this season, the Bucks and their opponents have eclipsed Saturday's over/under of 221.5 points 56 times (74.7% of opportunities).
• 28 Miami games this year (37.3% of its matchups) finished with a final score higher than Saturday's total of 221.5 points.
• Together, the two teams combine for 227.6 points per game, 6.1 points more than the over/under of 221.5 for this contest.
• The 221.9 points per game these two teams surrender to opponents on average this season are 0.4 more than the 221.5 over/under in this contest.
• This season, the average total for Bucks games is 233.6 points, 12.1 more than the over/under of 221.5 points for this contest.
• A difference of 5.5 points separates this contest's over/under (221.5 points) and the average total points bet in Heat's games (216 points) this season.

Previous Matchups

Milwaukee has won a majority of its last 10 games against Miami, going 6-4,

Bucks Players to Watch

• Giannis Antetokounmpo leads the Bucks in scoring and rebounding, accumulating 28.1 points and 11.0 rebounds per game.
• Jrue Holiday leads Milwaukee in assists, averaging 6.1 per game while also scoring 17.7 points per contest.
• Bryn Forbes leads the Bucks in three-point shooting, knocking down an average of 2.2 shots per game from beyond the arc.
• Holiday is Milwaukee's leader in steals, averaging 1.6 steals per game, while Brook Lopez leads them in blocks with 1.5 per contest.

Heat Players to Watch

• Jimmy Butler's points (21.5 per game) and assists (7.1 per game) stat lines give him the top scoring and assists spots on the Heat's leaderboards.
• Bam Adebayo is at the top of the Miami rebounding leaderboard with 9.0 rebounds per game. He also notches 18.7 points and adds 5.4 assists per game.
• Duncan Robinson is consistent from deep and leads the Heat with 3.5 made threes per game.
• Butler (2.1 steals per game) is the steal leader for Miami while Adebayo (1.0 block per game) is the block leader.

Injury Report

Bucks:

Donte DiVincenzo: Out Indefinitely (Foot),

Giannis Antetokounmpo: Day To Day (Groin),

Thanasis Antetokounmpo: Out (Knee)

Heat:

Victor Oladipo: Out For Season (Knee)