Milwaukee Bucks vs Miami Heat: Don Best NBA Playoff Odds & Trends for 5/22/2021

The Milwaukee Bucks (46-26, 0-0) are 4.5-point favorites heading into Game 1 of the against the Miami Heat (40-32, 0-0) at Fiserv Forum on Saturday, starting at 2:00 PM ET on ESPN. The series is tied .

How to Watch

Time: 2:00 PM EST
TV Channel: ESPN

Betting Suggestions:

Bucks vs. Heat Betting Data

Bucks Betting Data

• Milwaukee has failed to cover the spread more often than not this year, going 32-39-1.
• The Bucks' record against the spread as at least a 4.5-point favorite is under .500 at 25-27-1.
• Milwaukee routinely hits the over, topping the point total in 41 of 72 games (56.9%).

Heat Betting Data

• Against the spread this season, Miami is under .500: 34-36-2.
• The Heat are 11-15-2 against the spread when at least 4.5-point underdogs.
• Miami hit the over in a majority of its outings this season: 38 of 72 games (52.8%).

Point Total Insights

• In Milwaukee's matchups this season, the Bucks and their opponents have exceeded Saturday's point total of 227 points 48 times (66.7% of opportunities).
• In 25 out of Miami's 72 games this year (34.7%), the competing teams combined for a higher point total than the point total in Saturday's matchup.
• The Bucks average 120.1 points per game against the Heat's 108.1, amounting to 1.2 points over the contest's over/under of 227.
• These two teams surrender a combined 222.2 points per game, 4.8 points less than this contest's over/under.
• On average, the Bucks have seen a 234.4 over/under in their games this season, 7.4 more points than the over/under in this contest.
• A difference of 10.9 points separates this contest's over/under (227 points) and the average total points bet in Heat's games (216.1 points) this season.

Previous Matchups

In their last 10 matchups, Miami has a 6-4 record in games against Milwaukee, while the Heat also hold a 6-4 edge against the spread when matched up with the Bucks.

Bucks Players to Watch

• The scoring and rebounding leader for the Bucks is Giannis Antetokounmpo, who averages 28.1 points and 11.0 rebounds per game.
• Milwaukee's best passer is Jrue Holiday, who averages 6.1 assists per game to go with his 17.7 PPG scoring average.
• The Bucks get the most three-point shooting production out of Bryn Forbes, who knocks down 2.2 threes per game.
• Holiday is Milwaukee's leader in steals, averaging 1.6 steals per game, while Brook Lopez leads them in blocks with 1.5 per contest.

Heat Players to Watch

• Jimmy Butler's points (21.5 per game) and assists (7.1 per game) stat lines give him the top scoring and assists spots on the Heat's leaderboards.
• Bam Adebayo's stat line of 9.0 rebounds, 18.7 points and 5.4 assists per game helps him grab the top spot on the Miami rebounding leaderboard.
• Duncan Robinson is the top shooter from distance for the Heat, hitting 3.5 threes per game.
• Miami's leader in steals is Butler (2.1 per game), and its leader in blocks is Adebayo (1.0 per game).

Injury Report

Bucks:

Thanasis Antetokounmpo: Out (Knee),

Jeff Teague: Day To Day (Knee)

Heat:

Victor Oladipo: Out For Season (Knee)