NFL Betting: Week 1 trends and angles
By: Barry Daniels
Thursday, September 2, 2010
The Cleveland Browns are 2-9 ATS in their last 11 season openers.
Will the defense be ahead of the offense during the opening week of the NFL season? Which teams traditionally get off to a quick start and which have trouble getting their engines going? Find these answers and more by reading our NFL Week 1 trends and angles. (Part 1 of 2)
Vikings at Saints
The Vikings have covered the spread during the last five regular season series meetings against the Saints, but dropped a 31-28 decision in last season's playoff matchup as four-point road favorites. Minnesota is 12-21-1 ATS as non-division road underdogs. New Orleans is 20-30-1 ATS in its last 51 home games, but 16-6-1 ATS versus non-division clubs.
Panthers at Giants
Carolina is 29-17-2 ATS in its last 48 road encounters. The Giants lost to the Panthers last season 41-9 as 8 ½-point road underdogs. Carolina is 0-6 as ‘dogs versus opponents with revenge. The ‘under' is 12-2 in Carolina's last 14 season openers. The Panthers have covered the spread in three of their last four trips to New York.
Dolphins at Bills
Buffalo has covered the spread in 12 of the last 14 series meetings against Miami. The 'over' is 7-4-1 in Miami's last 12 games as a road favorite against division rivals. The Bills defeated the Dolphins in both meetings last year by an identical 31-14 score. Both games skipped 'over' the closing total. Buffalo closed as a 3 1/2-point favorite in its lone home meeting against the Dolphins last season.
Falcons at Steelers
The ‘under' is 20-11 in the last 31 games when Atlanta was favored against AFC teams. The ‘under' is 9-2 in the last 11 games when the Falcons closed as a road favorite. Pittsburgh has covered the spread in five of its last seven season openers. The ‘under' is 9-3 in the Steelers' last 12 outings as underdogs.
Lions at Bears
The underdog is 13-7-1 in the last 21 series meetings, while the straight-up winner is 32-6-2 ATS in the last 40 meetings. The Bears are 8-11 ATS as favorites in the last 19 matchups with the Lions. The ‘over' is 18-12-1 in Detroit's last 31 games as a road underdog. The ‘over' is 8-1 in Chicago's last nine as division favorites of four points or more.
Bengals at Patriots
Cincinnati is 26-18-1 ATS in its last 45 road encounters. New England is 44-18-2 in its last 64 outings as a home favorite versus non-division opponents. The ‘over' is 8-5 in New England's last 13 home openers.
Browns at Bucs
Cleveland is 2-9 ATS in its last 11 season openers. The ‘under' is 20-12 in Cleveland's last 32 games as underdogs versus non-conference foes. The ‘under' is 16-7-1 in the Browns' last 24 September outings. Tampa Bay is 35-23-3 ATS in its last 61 home games versus non-division competition. The ‘under' is 23-9 in Tampa Bay's last 32 as a home favorite.
Broncos at Jaguars
Jacksonville is 1-7 ATS in its last eight September outings, but 11-8-1 in its last 20 as home favorites as 3 ½-points or less. The Jaguars are 9-4-1 ATS in their last 14 home openers and 9-2 ATS in their last 11 overall season openers. Denver suffered a 24-17 setback in its lone meeting against the Jaguars last season as a hefty 10 ½-point home favorite. The combined 41 points dipped ‘under' the 48 ½-point closing total.
Colts at Texans
Indianapolis is 15-1 SU, but just 8-8 ATS in its last 16 meetings against Houston. The Colts are 11-4-2 ATS in their last 17 road openers and 22-11-2 ATS in their last 35 September games. The Colts are 20-8-2 ATS as road favorites of 3 ½-points or less. Texas is 10-6 ATS in its last 16 as home dogs versus division rivals. The ‘over' is 11-3 in the last 14 series meetings between the Colts and Texans.
Don't forget to check the injuries and weather report for all of pro football's opening week action.