NFL Betting Odds: Denver Broncos at Ravens

By: Brad Young | Tuesday, October 5, 2010
Joe Flacco

Joe Flacco’s 70.5 QB rating ranks him 25th among NFL quarterbacks.

Two teams hoping to string together an early season winning streak collide Sunday when Denver visits Baltimore.  The Broncos enter this matchup off an impressive road victory, while the Ravens just defeated a hated divisional rival.

Denver (2-2 straight up and against the spread) enters Week 5 of the NFL betting season tied for second place in the AFC West with San Diego, trailing undefeated Kansas City.  The Broncos have a positive scoring differential of just two points (87-85) entering this matchup.

Baltimore (3-1 SU, 2-2 ATS) remains one of the favorites to win the AFC, opening at 11/1 before moving to its current 6/1 status.  Only three teams with identical 5/1 NFL odds (Indianapolis, New England and Pittsburgh) have better odds of representing the AFC at Super Bowl XLV.  The Ravens have a positive scoring differential of six points (61-55) after their first four games, all against fellow AFC North opponents.

Don Best Real-Time Odds has Baltimore listed as seven-point home ‘chalk’ over Denver, with the total set at 38 ½.  CBS Sports will provide coverage of Sunday’s matchup from M&T Bank Stadium beginning at 10:00 a.m. PT.

Top NLF Betting Odds at 5Dimes.

Denver has alternated SU and ATS wins and losses this season after beating Tennessee last weekend as a six-point road underdog, 26-20.  The combined 46 points eclipsed the 43 ½-point closing total, helping the ‘over’ improve to 3-1.

The Broncos prevailed by outscoring the Titans in the fourth quarter, 10-0.  Denver finished the contest with advantages in first downs (22-13), passing yards (308-167), turnovers forced (2-1) and time of possession (35:18-24:42).

Quarterback Kyle Orton was 35-of-50 passing for 341 yards with two touchdowns and an interception.  Wideouts Brandon Lloyd (11 receptions for 115 yards) and Eddie Royal (eight catches for 113 yards and a score) helped overcome an anemic ground game.  The Broncos managed just 19 yards on 20 attempts, led by Orton’s three rushing attempts for 11 yards.

Baltimore upended AFC North rival Pittsburgh last weekend as a two-point road underdog, 17-14.  The combined 31 points failed to topple the 34 ½-point closing total, helping the ‘under’ improve to 3-1.

The Ravens finished the contest with advantages in first downs (22-14), passing yards (250-126) and turnovers forced (2-1).  Baltimore prevailed when quarterback Joe Flacco connected with wideout T.J. Houshmandzadeh on an 18-yard scoring strike with just 32 seconds remaining.

Top NLF Betting Odds at 5Dimes.

Flacco was 24-of-37 passing against the Steelers for 256 yards with a touchdown and an interception.  Running back Willis McGahee had 14 carries for 39 yards and a score in the victory, while wideout Derrick Mason caught six passes for 80 yards.

Baltimore throttled Denver last season in an early November matchup as a 4 ½-point home favorite, 30-7.  The combined 37 points failed to eclipse the 42 ½-point closing total, helping the ‘under’ improve to 6-1 the previous seven games in this series.

The home team is 8-1 SU and 6-2-1 ATS the last nine meetings between these teams.  The Broncos have seen the ‘under’ go 5-2-1 their previous eight outings in October.  Meanwhile, the ‘under’ is 12-4 in the Ravens’ past 16 games when listed as a favorite.

Denver running back Knowshon Moreno (hamstring), cornerback Champ Bailey (leg), strong safety David Bruton (leg), fullback Spencer Larsen (ankle) and outside linebacker Wesley Woodyard (hamstring) are ‘questionable’ versus the Ravens, while cornerback Andre Goodman (thigh) is ‘probable.’

Baltimore running back Willis McGahee (head) and defensive tackle Cory Redding (concussion) are ‘questionable’ due to injury against the Broncos. while offensive tackle Jared Gaither (back), linebacker Tavares Gooden (shoulder) and linebacker Paul Kruger (knee) are ‘out.’

Denver follows this matchup with a two-game homestand against the New York Jets and Oakland Raiders.  Baltimore travels to New England next weekend before returning home to tackle Buffalo.

Sunday’s forecast for M&T Bank Stadium in Baltimore calls for sunny skies, with a high of 67 degrees and a low of 55.

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