NFL Betting: Bears visit Dallas Cowboys
By: Jimmy Sirody
Tuesday, September 14, 2010
Offensive mistakes cost Wade Phillips’ club in the loss at Washington.
The Chicago Bears and Dallas Cowboys debuted with similar performances in Week 1.
The Bears may be 1-0 in the standings. But they are 0-for-1 in restoring the confidence of their fans. They barely beat the worst team on their schedule despite giving up four sacks and committing nine penalties. They survived only because of a wrong-headed rule about what is and isn’t a reception.
For the first time since losing a season opener at Jacksonville in 2006, the Cowboys own a losing record. Perhaps it’s time to find the panic button after they scored one touchdown that counted in a 13-7 loss Sunday night to last season’s NFC East bottom-feeder, the Washington Redskins.
Dallas debuts at home Sunday night against the Bears, looking to avoid its first 0-2 start since 2001. Most offshore books opened the Cowboys as 8 ½-point NFL spread favorites. Bookmaker.com opened its ‘total’ set at 42 ½, a number that has since been bet down to 41 at nearly all offshore sites.
Dallas looked like a bunch of stumblebums in the preseason and pretty much the same through three quarters of its opener. The Cowboys stacked up 380 yards and 24 first downs with two offensive line starters out, which essentially eliminated the vertical passing game. But they failed to finish drives, a continuation of their biggest flaw from last season.
When Dallas loses 13-7, the offense gets all the heat. But keep in mind the Cowboys defense was going against an awful Washington attack.
The Cowboys have bounced back to cash at a 25-18-1 ATS clip at home after scoring 14 points or less and they are 7-1 as favorites of less than 10 points versus NFC North competition.
However, Dallas is on the wrong end of a very strong Week 2 trend. In a matchup between conference rivals, teams who scored 10 or less points in Week 1 are 1-6 ATS in their next game and 17-33-1 ATS since 1988.
Chicago is 7-19-2 ATS off a SU win and 3-12-2 ATS after allowing less than 15 points in its previous game. The Bears have also flunked eight of their past 10 conference tests ATS and dropped five of six spread decisions on the highway.
In addition, they are 1-9 as dogs versus an opponent off a SU favorite loss.
Chicago has ended on the low side in 13 of 16 games after an ATS loss and it has strayed ‘under’ in 12 of 17 on the road. The Bears have also ducked ‘under’ at a 28-9-1 clip as non-division road pups.
The Cowboys have topped the ‘total’ at a 22-12-1 pace at home after losing SU and ATS.