Don Best - ncaa football trends

 
SAN DIEGO (8-6) AT SAN FRANCISCO (7-7)
Saturday,  Dec 20 2014 at 8:25 PM
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Premium Matchup InformationOffensive StatisticsDefensive Statistics
TeamsLinePF/PASUATSO/U/PRYPYTYRYPYTY
103: SAN DIEGO
104: SAN FRANCISCO
40.5
-2.0
21.6 / 21.0
17.9 / 20.4
8-6
7-7
6-8-0
6-8-0
6-8-0
4-10-0
82.8
115.5
250.1
198.7
332.9
314.2
108.6
99.9
228.1
207.2
336.7
307.1
Power Rating Line
The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated.
 Power Rating
 EstimateEdge
SAN DIEGO  
SAN FRANCISCO0 
Team Trends and Angles
All team trends listed below apply to the current game.
SAN DIEGO - Recent ATS Trends
 Against the spreadOver/UnderStraight Up
 CurrentLast 3   Since 1992CurrentLast 3   Since 1992CurrentLast 3   Since 1992
DescriptionW-LW-LW-LO-UO-UO-UW-LW-LW-L
in games where the line is +3 to -32-28-1367-660-48-1466-711-37-1569-71
in all games6-823-23194-1796-823-25189-1858-625-23197-185
in all lined games6-823-23194-1796-823-25189-1858-625-23197-185
as an underdog4-415-12100-903-514-15101-913-512-1770-125
as a road underdog of 3 points or less2-15-424-160-35-523-181-24-619-24
in road games3-313-9103-813-312-12102-803-312-1285-103
in road lined games3-313-9103-813-312-12102-803-312-1285-103
in a road game where the total is between 38.5 and 42 points0-00-131-180-00-125-220-00-123-26
in all games where the total is between 35.5 and 42 points0-03-285-640-04-178-690-04-183-68
when playing on a Saturday0-00-03-80-00-04-70-00-05-6
when playing with 6 or less days rest5-618-17157-1386-519-18153-1437-421-16157-146
against NFC West division opponents2-12-114-142-12-117-112-12-113-15
off a division game0-44-1168-782-26-972-711-36-974-74
in games played on a grass field3-818-22151-1565-620-22154-1576-521-21165-151
in December games0-25-748-460-25-749-460-27-554-43
in non-conference games2-15-644-442-18-356-342-15-643-47
off a loss against a division rival0-21-527-451-11-535-360-21-526-47
after 2 or more consecutive losses0-23-643-450-23-642-471-14-533-58
in the last 4 weeks of the regular season0-25-546-400-25-547-400-27-351-38

SAN FRANCISCO - Recent ATS Trends
 Against the spreadOver/UnderStraight Up
 CurrentLast 3   Since 1992CurrentLast 3   Since 1992CurrentLast 3   Since 1992
DescriptionW-LW-LW-LO-UO-UO-UW-LW-LW-L
in games where the line is +3 to -32-28-437-491-37-647-442-210-344-49
in all games6-829-22190-1884-1026-26198-1887-734-17220-170
in all lined games6-829-22190-1884-1026-26198-1887-734-17220-170
as a favorite5-624-17126-1072-919-23122-1166-530-11181-58
as a home favorite of 3 points or less0-11-210-120-11-212-120-12-115-9
in home games2-411-1299-911-511-12100-953-316-6130-64
in home lined games2-411-1299-911-511-12100-953-316-6130-64
in a home game where the total is between 38.5 and 42 points0-13-335-330-13-339-310-15-143-27
in all games where the total is between 35.5 and 42 points0-410-1185-940-49-12100-830-413-7102-82
when playing on a Saturday0-01-010-120-01-011-110-01-013-9
when playing with 6 or less days rest4-619-16128-1393-717-19134-1415-523-13154-124
against AFC West division opponents1-21-213-151-21-215-131-21-215-13
off a division game2-29-672-672-29-782-642-212-383-62
in games played on a grass field2-617-15135-1442-617-16149-1373-523-9167-120
in December games0-25-743-490-27-548-480-28-455-41
in non-conference games1-28-446-451-27-546-471-28-450-43
off a loss against a division rival2-13-330-221-23-327-262-14-228-25
after 2 or more consecutive losses2-14-131-381-22-335-342-14-125-45
when playing against a team with a winning record1-311-1069-801-39-1370-831-313-971-83
when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season0-27-746-520-27-849-540-28-750-53
in the last 4 weeks of the regular season0-24-643-430-27-349-410-27-355-35
Team Statistics
Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green.
SAN DIEGO - Current Season Performance
 Straight UpAgainst SpreadTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsW-LO-UScoreHalfYardsYPPTOScoreHalfYardsYPPTO
All Games8-6+3.76-86-821.610.9332.9(5.6)1.221.010.4336.7(5.6)1.1
Road Games3-3+1.53-33-320.87.8328.8(5.6)1.526.812.2384.5(6.1)0.5
Last 3 Games1-2+0.21-21-219.39.0314.7(5.4)1.726.012.7361.3(5.5)0.7
Grass Games6-5+1.23-85-620.911.5326.8(5.5)1.321.211.0333.5(5.6)1.2
SAN DIEGO - Current Season Statistics
 RushingPassingTotal
 PPGHalfFDTOPATT-YDSYPRCMP-ATTPCTYDSPYAATT-YDSYPPYPPT
Offense (All Games)21.610.919.830:4325-83(3.3)23-3567.3%250(7.2)60-333(5.6)(15.4)
Opponents Defensive Avg.21.611.119.530:1826-103(4)22-3563.0%230(6.5)61-333(5.4)(15.4)
Offense Road Games20.87.820.329:5724-71(2.9)23-3566.3%257(7.4)59-329(5.6)(15.8)
Defense (All Games)21.010.419.429:1727-109(4.1)21-3461.1%228(6.8)60-337(5.6)(16)
Opponents Offensive Avg.22.31119.430:5126-111(4.2)22-3562.2%226(6.4)61-337(5.5)(15.1)
Defense Road Games26.812.222.730:0327-118(4.3)22-3662.5%267(7.4)63-384(6.1)(14.3)
SAN DIEGO - Turnovers, Penalties and Special Teams Statistics
 Turnovers LostThird DownsFourth DownsKickoff ReturnsPunt ReturnsPenalties
 INTFLTODIFF#-MADEPCT#-MADEPCTKR-YDSYPKRPR-YDSYPPRPEN-YDS
Stats For (All Games)0.90.31.2-0.113-646.3%0-020.0%1-28(21.8)1-14(9.5)7-62
Opponents Avg. Stats Against0.80.61.41.714-539.3%1-042.9%2-53(24.3)19-2(9.3)7-55
Stats For (Road Games)1.20.31.5-1.012-647.3%1-025.0%1-27(27.3)1-10(8.3)7-63
Stats Against (All Games)0.50.61.1 13-644.6%1-022.2%4-91(21.9)2-19(9.4)8-66
Opponents Avg. Stats For0.90.51.4 14-539.5%1-048.3%2-58(23.8)20-2(8.6)7-58
Stats Against (Road Games)0.20.30.5 13-754.4%0-00.0%3-75(23.6)2-19(10.3)9-68

SAN FRANCISCO - Current Season Performance
 Straight UpAgainst SpreadTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsW-LO-UScoreHalfYardsYPPTOScoreHalfYardsYPPTO
All Games7-7-7.86-84-1017.912.3314.2(5.3)1.420.410.1307.1(5.3)1.6
Home Games3-3-5.72-41-516.310.5310.7(5.2)2.218.511.3246.5(4.8)1.3
Last 3 Games0-3-5.60-30-37.75.7219.0(4.4)1.720.08.7333.0(5.8)0.3
Grass Games3-5-10.22-62-616.010.4302.7(5.1)2.022.112.4278.5(5.3)1.0
SAN FRANCISCO - Current Season Statistics
 RushingPassingTotal
 PPGHalfFDTOPATT-YDSYPRCMP-ATTPCTYDSPYAATT-YDSYPPYPPT
Offense (All Games)17.912.318.931:5928-115(4.1)19-3159.8%199(6.4)60-314(5.3)(17.5)
Opponents Defensive Avg.22.611.419.530:6026-108(4.1)22-3463.5%233(6.8)60-342(5.7)(15.1)
Offense Home Games16.310.518.833:1429-121(4.1)18-3060.4%189(6.2)60-311(5.2)(19)
Defense (All Games)20.410.118.128:4225-100(4)19-3358.7%207(6.3)58-307(5.3)(15.1)
Opponents Offensive Avg.23.111.520.230:1927-116(4.3)22-3463.7%234(6.8)61-351(5.7)(15.2)
Defense Home Games18.511.314.226:4623-90(4)17-2957.5%156(5.4)52-246(4.8)(13.3)
SAN FRANCISCO - Turnovers, Penalties and Special Teams Statistics
 Turnovers LostThird DownsFourth DownsKickoff ReturnsPunt ReturnsPenalties
 INTFLTODIFF#-MADEPCT#-MADEPCTKR-YDSYPKRPR-YDSYPPRPEN-YDS
Stats For (All Games)0.70.61.40.314-539.8%1-158.8%2-60(24.7)2-14(6)7-55
Opponents Avg. Stats Against0.80.61.41.513-539.4%1-044.0%2-57(23.8)18-2(9.1)7-57
Stats For (Home Games)1.21.02.2-0.814-539.3%1-180.0%3-76(23.9)2-14(5.5)7-53
Stats Against (All Games)1.20.41.6 13-542.9%1-036.4%2-54(22.8)2-22(9.2)8-61
Opponents Avg. Stats For0.80.71.5 13-540.8%1-043.7%2-56(23.5)20-2(9.5)7-59
Stats Against (Home Games)0.80.51.3 12-434.7%0-00.0%2-57(22.9)3-32(11.9)9-66
Average power rating of opponents played: SAN DIEGO 22.4,  SAN FRANCISCO 21.9
Current Season Results And Upcoming Games
Here are the most recent results and upcoming schedules for the two teams involved. Lines, total, game scores, results versus the spread, straight up and against the total are all displayed.
SAN DIEGO - Season Results
 Team StatsOpp Stats
DateOpponentScoreSULineATSTot.O/URushingPassingTORushingPassingTO
10/23/2014@ DENVER21-35L9L50.5O15-6130-41-245230-13925-35-2860
11/2/2014@ MIAMI0-37L3L45U19-5013-26-128435-13226-39-3090
11/16/2014OAKLAND13-6W-10L45.5U32-12022-34-180019-7116-34-1621
11/23/2014ST LOUIS27-24W-5L43.5O22-12829-35-282324-10719-36-2103
11/30/2014@ BALTIMORE34-33W6.5W45.5O18-6434-45-376232-12519-31-2250
12/7/2014NEW ENGLAND14-23L4L53.5U17-5320-33-163128-8728-44-3102
12/14/2014DENVER10-22L4L49U20-5624-41-232239-11114-22-2260
12/20/2014@ SAN FRANCISCO            
12/28/2014@ KANSAS CITY            

SAN FRANCISCO - Season Results
 Team StatsOpp Stats
DateOpponentScoreSULineATSTot.O/URushingPassingTORushingPassingTO
11/2/2014ST LOUIS10-13L-10L44U21-8022-33-183227-9113-24-1022
11/9/2014@ NEW ORLEANS27-24W6W49O32-14414-32-186131-13628-47-2873
11/16/2014@ NY GIANTS16-10W-4W44.5U37-14815-30-185121-6522-45-2655
11/23/2014WASHINGTON17-13W-9.5L43.5U29-6620-29-246327-13611-20-771
11/27/2014SEATTLE3-19L-1L40U18-6416-29-100334-15715-22-2220
12/7/2014@ OAKLAND13-24L-8.5L40U18-9718-33-151231-8522-28-2450
12/14/2014@ SEATTLE7-17L9.5L38U32-14011-19-105032-15212-24-1381
12/20/2014SAN DIEGO            
12/28/2014ARIZONA            
Head-to-Head Series History
Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups.
All games in this series since 1992
SAN DIEGO is 4-3 against the spread versus SAN FRANCISCO since 1992
SAN FRANCISCO is 4-3 straight up against SAN DIEGO since 1992
4 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1992
Games over the last 3 seasons
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

All games played at SAN FRANCISCO since 1992
SAN DIEGO is 2-0 against the spread versus SAN FRANCISCO since 1992
SAN FRANCISCO is 1-1 straight up against SAN DIEGO since 1992
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1992
Games played at SAN FRANCISCO over the last 3 seasons.
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

Team Line Action - Where the money is going!
Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%.
As indicated by the movement of the line, the betting public is favoring SAN DIEGO in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in SAN DIEGO games 56.5% of the time since 1992. (156-120)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in SAN DIEGO games 65.8% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (25-13)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in SAN FRANCISCO games 52.6% of the time since 1992. (153-138)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in SAN FRANCISCO games 45% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (18-22)
No Edge.
 
As indicated by the movement of the total, the betting public is favoring the UNDER in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the total in SAN DIEGO games 49.5% of the time since 1992. (152-155)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in SAN DIEGO games 32.6% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (14-29)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in SAN FRANCISCO games 49.7% of the time since 1992. (159-161)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in SAN FRANCISCO games 53.7% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (22-19)
Edge=Over
Key Player Injuries
SAN DIEGO
[DE] 12/19/2014 - Corey Liuget "?" Saturday vs. San Francisco ( Ankle )
[LB] 12/19/2014 - Donald Butler IR ( Elbow )
[DT] 12/19/2014 - Ryan Carrethers probable Saturday vs. San Francisco ( Elbow )
[RB] 12/18/2014 - Ryan Mathews expected to miss Saturday vs. San Francisco ( Ankle )
[QB] 12/18/2014 - Philip Rivers probable Saturday vs. San Francisco ( Back )
[WR] 12/17/2014 - Keenan Allen out indefinitely ( Ankle )
[TE] 12/14/2014 - Ladarius Green "?" Saturday vs. San Francisco ( Concussion )
[P] 12/12/2014 - Mike Scifres out indefinitely ( Shoulder )
[OL] 12/05/2014 - Ryan Miller out for season ( Concussion )
[C] 11/27/2014 - Rich Ohrnberger IR ( Back )
[CB] 11/20/2014 - Jason Verrett IR ( Shoulder )
[RB] 09/23/2014 - Danny Woodhead IR ( Ankle )
[LB] 09/23/2014 - Alvin Scioneaux IR ( Knee )
[DE] 09/23/2014 - Damik Scafe IR ( Hip )
[DT] 09/23/2014 - Ricky Tjong-A-Tjoe IR ( Knee )
[DB] 09/23/2014 - Marcus Cromartie IR ( Groin )
[C] 09/10/2014 - Nick Hardwick IR ( Ankle )
[WR] 09/04/2014 - Vincent Brown IR ( Calf )
[NT] 09/04/2014 - Kwame Geathers IR ( Knee )
SAN FRANCISCO
[C] 12/19/2014 - Marcus Martin probable Saturday vs. San Diego ( Knee )
[WR] 12/19/2014 - Steve Johnson expected to miss Saturday vs. San Diego ( Knee )
[CB] 12/19/2014 - Tramaine Brock expected to miss Saturday vs. San Diego ( Hamstring )
[NT] 12/18/2014 - Glenn Dorsey IR ( Forearm )
[RB] 12/18/2014 - Frank Gore is upgraded to probable Saturday vs. San Diego ( Concussion )
[RB] 12/18/2014 - Carlos Hyde expected to miss Saturday vs. San Diego ( Ankle )
[DE] 12/18/2014 - Ray McDonald has been dismissed ( Legal problems )
[WR] 12/18/2014 - Michael Crabtree "?" Saturday vs. San Diego ( Knee )
[LB] 12/18/2014 - Michael Wilhoite "?" Saturday vs. San Diego ( Hip )
[TE] 12/17/2014 - Garrett Celek IR ( Ankle )
[LB] 12/16/2014 - Ahmad Brooks "?" Saturday vs. San Diego ( Thumb )
[LB] 12/16/2014 - Chris Borland expected to miss Saturday vs. San Diego ( Ankle )
[T] 12/14/2014 - Anthony Davis "?" Saturday vs. San Diego ( Concussion )
[DB] 12/14/2014 - Chris Culliver "?" Saturday vs. San Diego ( Knee )
[TE] 12/10/2014 - Vance McDonald IR ( Back )
[TE] 11/27/2014 - Derek Carrier IR ( Foot )
[NT] 11/20/2014 - Ian Williams IR ( Ankle )
[S] 11/13/2014 - Jimmie Ward IR ( Foot )
[LB] 11/11/2014 - Patrick Willis IR ( Toe )
[CB] 10/25/2014 - Chris Cook IR ( Hamstring )
[G] 10/20/2014 - Daniel Kilgore IR ( Knee )
[CB] 09/23/2014 - Kenneth Acker IR ( Undisclosed )
[T] 09/04/2014 - Brandon Thomas out indefinitely ( Knee )
[LB] 09/04/2014 - NaVorro Bowman IR ( Knee )
[FB] 09/04/2014 - Trey Millard out indefinitely ( Knee )
[CB] 09/04/2014 - Keith Reaser out indefinitely ( Knee )
[RB] 09/04/2014 - Kendall Hunter IR ( Knee )
[RB] 09/04/2014 - Marcus Lattimore IR ( Knee )
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