Todd's Take On College Football Betting During Bowl Season
By: Don Best Staff
Thursday, December 6, 2012
The holiday season is officially upon us, which means the college football bowl season is about to crank up, and how bettors should approach the bowls is the subject of this edition of Todd's Take with Don Best market analyst Todd Fuhrman (@ToddFuhrman).
"Bowl season always provides challenges that the regular season doesn't provide for the handicapper," Fuhrman says, adding that a good place for bettors to start their preparation is measuring how each conference stacks up against one another. "We know the SEC is far superior to the Big Ten; there's a reason seven Big Ten teams playing in bowl games are a combined 55-point underdogs.
Skill sets, styles of play and tempo are three areas bettors should look at when trying to find similarities or contrasts between two clubs. We always hear that games are won and lost in the trenches, and that means looking at strengths and weaknesses along the offensive and defensive lines.
Handicappers will also need to check how teams finished their regular seasons. Those squads that were hot down the stretch could be overvalued while teams that dragged a bit at the end could be undervalued. The long break between the end of the regular season and a bowl appearance can wipe out any momentum that teams had down the stretch.
Just as they are in the regular season, college football injury reports are crucial to bowl matchups. Players that were sidelined the final few games of the campaign could make their return after having extra time to rest up, and getting the latest injury updates like those provided by Don Best Real-Time Odds, can give bettors the edge.
"Coaching this time of year can't be undervalued," Fuhrman adds. "I can't stress that enough. Numbers don't lie, and certain coaches just find ways to get their teams ready."
Changes in the coaching ranks are also part of this equation and can make it tough to try and figure out a team. Such is the case with a Wisconsin team that is headed to the Rose Bowl without its head coach following Bret Bielema's decision to leave Madison and take the job in Arkansas.
One team on Fuhrman's watch is list is Duke. The Blue Devils dropped five of their last six games, but the players are still very excited to make a rare bowl appearance, and Fuhrman thinks Coach David Cutliffe will have Duke focused for the Belk Bowl matchup vs. Cincinnati (click to check updated college football lines).
Follow all of the action this bowl season by keeping your web browser pointed to Don Best, and look for upcoming details of the Don Best College Football Bowls Contest.