NCAA Football Odds: 2010 Miami Hurricanes
By: Jimmy Sirody
Thursday, August 19, 2010
Jacory Harris leads what should be a very potent Miami offense in 2010.
Will Miami be a contender or a pretender in the Atlantic Coast Conference? The Hurricanes defense holds the answer.
Bookmaker.com's initial answer is to install Miami as 20/1 to win the BCS Championship. That puts the Hurricanes in a similar spot as Iowa, TCU and Virginia Tech presently.
Miami is the only team in the ACC with its two top quarterbacks, running backs, wide receivers and sackers all back and coach Randy Shannon has NFL talent all over the field.
The Hurricanes figure to put points on the board in bunches led by quarterback Jacory Harris, but just how effective the defense is will likely determine whether Miami is just another top 15 team or a national title contender.
The defense was good last year, though it had an alarming tendency to give up big plays in big games. That was evident in the Champs Sports Bowl last December when the Wisconsin Badgers rolled up 430 yards and 20 unanswered points in their 20-14 win. Miami was the slight 1½-point favorite in the contest.
The unit could be even better this season, led by All-American candidate Allen Bailey at defensive end, Colin McCarthy and Sean Spence at linebacker, and corner Brandon Harris and safety Vaughan Telemaque in the secondary.
The U will again have to navigate a tough early schedule, with road trips to Ohio State and Pitt in September. If Miami can take Virginia Tech at home, the path is open for a run to the ACC title game.
The Hurricanes are just 24-34 as home college football betting favorites since 1999 and they really struggle as double-digit chalk (29-38).
However, Miami has been a fierce dog, cashing 16 of 25, including 13 of 19 as single-digit short-enders.
The Hurricanes' showdown with the Hokies isn’t until Nov. 20 at Sun Life Stadium. The 'Canes have been a betting bust against Tech, failing to cash four straight and eight of nine. They also have a tough time against North Carolina (1-5 ATS).
Miami has posted a winning spread mark against conference tenants just twice since 2000 and over the past five seasons the 'Canes are 14-26 ATS versus the ACC.
The Hurricanes should be avoided like the plague following a loss. They are 9-17 ATS since 2001 off a SU setback.
UM was also 9-2 ATS from ’92-’01 in home finales but is just 1-7 ATS the last eight years.