Football Lines To Watch - Monday Market Report November 19

By: Don Best Staff | Monday, November 19, 2012

Don Best sports analysts Brian Blessing (@BrianBlessing) and Todd Fuhrman (@ToddFuhrman) are back in the Don Best war room to look at early line movement on the upcoming holiday football betting slate, and the first game that catches their eye is in the SEC.

Tennessee opened at -15½ before the spread came down to -14 against Kentucky in Knoxville on Saturday (click to check updated college football odds). The Vols just announced the firing of head coach Derek Dooley, and the Wildcats also come in having let Joe "Joker" Phillips go earlier this year.

Moving to State College, Penn State opened as 2-point favorites against the visiting Wisconsin Badgers, and it has quickly advanced to the key number of -3. It could be a look-ahead spot for the Badgers, who are destined for the Big Ten title game.

"A de facto bowl game for the boys in Happy Valley," said Fuhrman, who also points out about the season finale for the Nittany Lions. "You look at what coach O'Brien has done with this team, really getting them to believe in themselves. They put together one of the most remarkable seasons in recent memory."

Texas A&M has also had a remarkable season and could be headed to a BCS Bowl with a big win over Missouri at Kyle Field on Saturday. The Aggies started at -19 before being pushed up to an even three touchdowns. Love for A&M's Johnny Manziel and his late-season bid for the Heisman Trophy is likely driving this movement as much as anything.

The San Jose State Spartans have provided college football betting market volatility the past few weeks, and Blessing points to early movement on their contest once again. San Jose started at -3 for the home tilt vs. Louisiana Tech, but the spread is now -5. The Spartans have been among the country's best with a 9-2 record vs. the line, and they have matched that on the field with a 9-2 straight-up mark.

Shifting to a Thanksgiving affair in the NFL, the Patriots were sent out at -7 for their game at the New York Jets, but that has since been bet down to 5½ in early trading. The injury to New England TE Rob Gronkowski's right arm, which required surgery on Monday, is clearly behind the reaction to this move (click to check updated NFL injury report).

Blessing also thinks the total will work itself down on this game as the next couple of days progress. NFL bettors will see that when it happens if they're following the Don Best Real-Time Odds screen.

Don't forget to check back each and every week for the Monday Market Report.

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