Football Lines To Watch - Monday Market Report November 12

By: Don Best Staff | Monday, November 12, 2012

A new week is upon us, and that means it's time for the Monday Market Report from Don Best analysts Brian Blessing (@BrianBlessing) and Todd Fuhrman (@ToddFuhrman).

This week's tour begins in the ACC where North Carolina travels to Virginia in a Thursday night clash we'll look at in greater detail before kickoff. The Tar Heels were sent out as 5½-point road favorites before it quickly dropping to -3½ (click to check updated college football odds). The Cavs are playing their best football of the season right now, as Fuhrman points out, and they need to close with victories in their final two games to become bowl eligible.

"We know how these short weeks work, how big momentum is," Fuhrman warned. "I think North Carolina can struggle going into Charlottesville."

An even bigger line move has been seen in BYU's trip to San Jose State. The Cougars started at -6, but the spread is now -3½.

One game that has switched sides in the early going pits Utah State at Louisiana Tech. The Aggies opened 1-point underdogs to the Bulldogs, but they are now giving up a field goal on the road. Defense is the key in this game and for this move, and La Tech simply doesn't have any.

Week 11 NFL action finds the red-hot Saints at the Black Hole to meet the Raiders, and New Orleans is now laying 4½ after beginning at -6½ (click to check updated NFL odds). Blessing points out the Saints are in a "potential letdown spot" following the big win over previously unbeaten Atlanta, but that New Orleans simply has no room for a letdown given the 0-4 start to the campaign.

"I actually believe this was a dummy move," Fuhrman says, as he thinks both public and sharp money will come in on the Saints to push the number back up.

Dipping into the mailbag, Don Best follower @bighitterdano asks Blessing and Fuhrman about the total in next Monday night's Bears-49ers game that could see both squads using backup quarterbacks. San Francisco's Alex Smith suffered what has been diagnosed as a concussion in Sunday's tie against the Rams while Chicago's Jay Cutler is questionable with the same injury suffered in Sunday night's 13-6 loss vs. Houston (click to check updated NFL injury report).

Both could be game-time decisions; Jason Campbell would get the nod for the Bears if Cutler can't go and Colin Kaepernick is Smith's stand-in for the Niners. However it turns out, bettors who have access to Don Best Real-Time Odds will get the news as soon as any decision is made. Fuhrman thinks if both backups go, the total will be set below 38.

Friday's edition of the Don Best Market Report will provide an update on the Chicago-San Francisco clash and any other gridiron affair that has seen marked movement during the week.

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