Football Line Moves Update - Friday Market Report December 7
By: Don Best Staff
Saturday, December 8, 2012
Betting odds for college bowl games came out earlier this week, and several have seen some major adjustments in the first few days of action. Don Best sports analysts Brian Blessing (@BrianBlessing) and Todd Fuhrman (@ToddFuhrman) take a look at some of those in this week's edition of the Friday Market Report.
A coaching change is behind the shift in the spread for the Belk Bowl that opened Cincinnati -10 before dipping to -7 (click to check updated college football odds). Bearcats head coach Butch Jones resigned on Friday to take the job at Tennessee, and Cincinnati has tagged defensive line coach Steve Stripling to coach the squad for this bowl matchup.
"You have a couple of things in play here," Fuhrman pointed out regarding the line move. "Not only is this game being played in Charlotte, so it's a virtual home game for Duke. But it's their first bowl game in 17 years, so the Blue Devils are excited about being here."
The Holiday Bowl started with UCLA a 2-point favorite over Baylor, and the line has since moved to a Pick 'em. Fuhrman doesn't believe this is the final line for this game, and he likes the spread to move back into the Bruins' favor.
South Carolina began as 3½-point chalk vs. Michigan in the Outback Bowl, but initial action on the Gamecocks has boosted them to 5½-point favorites. Big Ten teams are not getting much respect overall, and SEC rep South Carolina should prove to be a matchup problem for the Wolverines.
The Orange Bowl has been the subject of a lot of controversy with MAC champion Northern Illinois getting the invite to play Florida State. The Seminoles came out as 15-point favorites, but that number is now down to 12½. The Huskies are another team that has lost their coach with Dave Doeren accepting the job at North Carolina State a week ago, yet this move has been in favor of NIU.
Fuhrman doesn't think the Huskies will be able to handle the 'Noles, and he expects the spread to go back up in FSU's favor once the general public gets involved.
The BCS Championship Game has not been immune from early line moves, and Alabama is now 10-point chalk after beginning -7½. That could be big motivation for the Fighting Irish, who are ranked No. 1 ahead of 'Bama. Two previous teams have gone to the BCS Championship as double-digit underdogs, and they ended up with outright wins each time.
Make sure and check back each and every week during the football season to hear what the Don Best experts have to say about line moves, and stay in touch with comprehensive betting information with a subscription to Don Best Real-Time Odds.