College Football Odds: Handicapping the 2010 BCS

By: Adam Markowitz | Tuesday, June 29, 2010

Chris Petersen’s Broncos are among the BCS betting favorites.

The landscape of the college football betting world has changed quite a bit from the years when the SEC and Big XII were dominant. Gone are names like Sam Bradford, Tim Tebow and Colt McCoy, so several of the biggest schools in the country could be entering rebuilding phases.

One team that won't be doing much in the way of rebuilding is Nick Saban's Alabama Crimson Tide who sit plus 400 on the BCS football odds list.

The Tide is rolling into the 2010 CFB betting campaign as the clear choices to return for another shot at the BCS Championship. And why not? Heisman Trophy winner Mark Ingram is back, as are nearly all of his offensive mates. The schedule pans out well too, with the only really nasty game coming away from Tuscaloosa on November 6 at LSU.

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Alabama is known most for its defense, which held teams to just 244.3 yards per game a season ago, the second-best mark in the nation.  But the offense did average 32.1 points and 403.0 yards per game. Don't be shocked to see this team run the table towards the title.

Could a mid-major win the whole enchilada this year for the first time since BYU pulled off the stunt in 1984? There's a reason that the Blue Field dwellers, the Boise State Broncos, are the third choice on the board to pull off the feat.

Head coach Chris Petersen has only lost four games in his entire coaching career. Twenty-one of the 22 starters are back from the team that went 14-0 a year ago. The offense was tops in the land, averaging 42.2 points per game, while the defense allowed just 17.1.

Quarterback Kellen Moore is a legitimate Heisman Trophy threat as well, particularly if the Broncos can march into Lane Stadium and take out the Virginia Tech Hokies to start the season. If that's the case, Boise won't have anywhere to go but up, as it will certainly roll to another undefeated season, and at worst, a spot in a BCS game.

Taking plus 1100 college football betting odds on the Blue Field Boys seems like a fantastic idea, as we have a hard time seeing another team aside from Alabama running the table.

We should never really count out Bob Stoops and his Oklahoma Sooners either, should we? Even one loss in the Big XII would probably be good enough to go to the National Championship Game, and we think that Boomer Sooner has the ability to pull it off.

Yes, last season was a bit of waste when Bradford was lost due to his shoulder injury, but how about the job that Landry Jones did in his place? The frosh threw for 3,198 yards and 26 tuddies, including 418 yards and three scores in an impressive 31-27 win over a great Stanford team in the Sun Bowl.

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A trip to Cincinnati won't be fun on September 25, nor will a visit from Florida State two weeks before that. However, the rest of the schedule is very manageable until the Bedlam Series is renewed on the final weekend of the regular season. Remember that this offense was 11th in the nation in passing with a freshman under center. If Jones can pick it up as a sophomore, not only will he certainly be a Heisman Trophy candidate, but the Sooners are going to be a tremendous steal at plus 1400 to win the title.

One team that we want no part of is the Ohio State. We are just so tired of this team having all of the hype in the world without being able to finish the job and win the title. We've also heard far too much about Terrelle Pryor, and we've had enough. The kid is good, but he isn't the second coming by any means. Pryor led the 50th-ranked offense in America in terms of scoring at 29.0 per game and only averaged 369.0 yards per game.

Yes, we know that a 26-17 win over Oregon in the Rose Bowl last year was impressive. Still, we aren't all that impressed with the fact that a backup quarterback marched into The Shoe and nearly beat the Buckeyes last year when Iowa pushed OSU to overtime.

Unless there is some magical potion that is going to get this team past home games with Miami and Penn State and road tests at Wisconsin and Iowa, the Buckeyes are done. There's no way that this team should be the second choice on the board to win it all, Pryor or not, so we can't possibly take the plus 500 odds on Ohio State.

 
 
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