The Connecticut Huskies are on a four-game run against the spread.
The Connecticut Huskies have won four straight, with a 4-0 college football spread record. Randy Edsall’s squad puts its streak on the line in Saturday’s road matchup against the South Florida Bulls, who are 3-2 ATS in their last five contests.
Sports books opened South Florida as a one-point home favorite, with early Bulls’ wagers driving the number north to two. NCAA betting shops first set the ‘total’ at 41 ½, which was unchanged on most boards after initial action.
Connecticut’s latest triumph came in last Saturday’s 38-17 win as a 1 ½-point home favorite against the Cincinnati Bearcats. The Huskies prevailed despite being penalized nine times for 94 yards.
Huskies running back Jordan Todman notched 175 yards on 31 carries, taking in three touchdowns. The junior injured his shoulder during the game, but is listed as “probable” by Don Best.com to play against South Florida.
Connecticut’s Zach Frazer completed 11-of-24 passes for 121 yards. The senior quarterback found fullback Anthony Sherman for a 16-yard touchdown, giving the Huskies an early 7-0 lead.
The Huskies’ defense allowed 399 yards, grabbing four interceptions and one fumble. Defensive end Jesse Joseph registered the team’s only sack, bringing down Cincinnati’s Zach Collaros in the third quarter.
The lopsided affair’s combined 55 points ducked below the closing ‘total’ of 56, bringing the ‘under’ to 4-1 in the Huskies’ last five games. Connecticut’s offense moved the chains on 9-of-16 third down spots during its 34 minutes of possession.
The Huskies are 1-4 ATS in their first five road games, with the ‘over’ also going 1-4. Todman and Co. have scored 14.6 PPG in that span, while allowing 23.8 PPG.
South Florida pulled out a 23-20 overtime win as a 13-point road dog in last Saturday’s battle against the Miami Hurricanes. Bulls quarterback Bobby Eveld ran in a one-yard touchdown with two minutes remaining to tie the game, 17-17, forcing the extra stanza.
Eveld finished with 120 passing yards, completing 8-of-15 attempts. The freshman led his offense to 23 first downs in its 29 minutes with the ball.
South Florida’s Moise Plancher and Demetris Murray united for 143 rushing yards. Plancher recorded a season-high 24 carries, while Murray took in two scores from inside Miami’s 10-yard line.
The Bulls’ defense gave up 353 yards, with 188 coming through the air. South Florida’s Jacquian Williams and Farron Hornes each logged an interception.
The tight battle’s combined 43 points stayed below the 46 ½-point ‘total,’ extending South Florida’s ‘under’ streak to 3-0 in its last three games. The Bulls’ offense converted only 3-of-14 third downs, while being forced to punt ten times.
South Florida is 2-4 ATS in its first six home games, with the ‘over’ also cashing at 2-4. Skip Holtz’ crew has given up a stingy 14.3 PPG in that stretch, while notching 26.8 PPG.
The Bulls are 3-1 ATS in their last four meetings against Connecticut, with the ‘total’ splitting at 2-2.
Connecticut won last December’s game between the Big East Conference rivals, 29-27, failing to cover ATS as a 7 ½-point home favorite. Frazer logged 225 passing yards and two touchdowns for the Huskies, who recorded no turnovers.
Saturday’s kickoff is scheduled for 5 p.m. (PT), with ESPN2 providing the national television coverage.
The weather forecast in Tampa calls for a low of 60 degrees with calm winds and a 10-percent chance of rain.