Bruins Get Second Shot At Stanford In Pac-12 Title Game

By: Mike Cooper of CoopersPick.com | Tuesday, November 27, 2012
Stepfan Taylor-Andrew Luck

Stanford opened as a double-digit favorite against UCLA in the Pac-12 title game.

UCLA Bruins at Stanford Cardinal
Pac-12 Title Game Betting Preview
Date:
11/30/2012 at 8:00 p.m. (ET)
Opening Lines: Stanford -10½, O/U 51½
(click here for latest college football odds)
Television: FOX

Friday's Pac-12 Title game between Stanford (10-2, 8-1 Pac-12) and UCLA (9-3, 6-3) is a rematch of last week’s game where the Cardinal beat the Bruins, 35-17. Stanford has beaten UCLA four straight times both straight-up and against the spread and is riding an eight-game home winning streak overall. The Bruins have a solid rushing offense, but they were stuffed last week on the ground to the tune of 73 yards and will have a tall task again in this game facing Stanford's top-ranked rushing defense.

UCLA quarterback Brett Hundley passed for over 260 yards with one touchdown and one interception last week against the Cardinal and for the season his top two targets are averaging over 16 yards per reception. Still, the freshman QB needs help from the rushing offense, and he also needs time in the pocket, which he did not have last week in getting sacked seven times from the Cardinal pass rush, which leads the nation in that category. If UCLA’s offensive line plays well, Hundley may have a big game since Stanford’s pass defense only ranks 89th in the nation.

UCLA RB Johnathan Franklin rushed for 65 yards last week, averaging a paltry 3.1 yards per carry. Facing Stanford and its great run defense is a tall task, but he has to run the ball well or the Bruins may be in trouble.

Stanford QB Kevin Hogan is 3-0 since becoming the starter, and all the wins were facing teams ranked in the Top 25. His main target is 6-foot-6 TE Zach Ertz, who led the Cardinal in receiving yards last week and may cause problems again since the Bruins only rank 98th in the nation in pass defense.

Stanford RB Stepfan Taylor had a great game against UCLA last week with 142 rushing yards, averaging more than seven yards per carry, with two TDs. He will again be facing a Bruins run defense that ranks 53rd in the nation.

The winner of this game will head to the Rose Bowl while the loser will be out of the BCS bowl picture.

Stanford has not played in the Rose Bowl since the 2000 season and UCLA has not played in the Rose Bowl since the 1999 season.

UCLA vs. Stanford Key Betting Trends

On the season, UCLA is 7-5 ATS with an "over/under" record of 8-4 while Stanford is 8-4 ATS with an "over/under" record of 4-8.

UCLA has only covered the spread in five of its last 17 road games. In the Bruins' last five games overall, the posted total has gone "over" every time.

Stanford has covered the spread in its last four games facing a team with a winning record. In the Cardinal's last seven games, the posted total has gone "under" 5 times.

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