NCAA Sweet 16 And Elite 8 Trends

By: Marc Lawrence | Wednesday, March 23, 2016

If you are a player or a coach, there is nothing sweeter this time of the year than being alive in the NCAA Tournament. For those teams that survived the opening two rounds of this main event it's on to the Sweet 16 and, hopefully, the Elite 8 this weekend.  

From the 2016 PLAYBOOK NCAA Sweet 16 Tournament Guide here are essential notes and trends of the teams that have arrived.  Stay tuned.  Note: all stats are ATS (Against The Spread) unless noted otherwise.

NCAA SWEET 16 ROUND NOTES

  • #1 Seeds off BB SUATS wins are 19-8 ATS (Kansas)
  • #2 Seed favs of > 4 pts are 2-6-1 ATS (Villanova)
  • #3 Seed dogs of > 4 pts are 6-1 ATS (Miami Florida)
  • #4 Seed dogs < 6 pts are 6-1 ATS (Duke, Iowa St)
  • #5 Seeds off a DD SU win are 0-4 ATS (Maryland)
  • #6 Seeds off a SU favorite win are 5-0 ATS (Notre Dame)
  • #7 Seed dogs of 3 < pts are 1-3 ATS (Wisconsin)
  • #10 or worse seed dogs of > 4 pts are 6-1 ATS (Syracuse)
  • Favorites off a SU win of 20 > pts are 0-4 ATS (Gonzaga)

Best Team ATS records in this round 

Wisconsin 3-0, Oregon, Virginia 2-0, Oklahoma 4-1, Duke 3-1. 

Worst Team ATS records in this round 

Miami-Fl 0-2, Syracuse 1-6, Gonzaga, Indiana 1-3, Kansas 4-10.

Best Conference ATS records in this round 

SEC: 7-1-1, Big East: 5-1 as dogs

Worst Conference ATS records in this round 

Big 12: 0-6, MVC: 0-4, West Coast: 1-3, Pac 12: 2-6 

NCAA ELITE 8 ROUND NOTES

  • #1 Seed favs > 7 pts are 1-9 ATS
  • #2 Seeds are 3-10-1 ATS off a DD ATS win
  • #3 Seeds are 2-9 ATS
  • #4 Seeds are 11-3 ATS
  • #5 Seeds are 7-0 ATS
  • #6 Seeds are 2-5 ATS
  • #7 Seeds are 3-1-1 ATS
  • #8 Seeds are 5-1 ATS
  • Teams that score 67 < pts are 17-49 SU & 17-46-3 ATS
  • Teams that score 85 > pts are 29-7 SU & 26-8-2 ATS
  • Teams off 3+ ATS wins are 7-1-1 ATS
  • Teams with Revenge are 16-6-1 ATS
  • Dogs off 3 straight DD wins are 2-7-1 ATS

Best Conference ATS records in this round 

Big East: 6-1 as dogs 4 < pts, Big 10: 5-1 as dogs, SEC: 5-1 as favs 7 > pts, Pac 12: 4-1 as dogs. 

Worst Conference ATS records in this round 

Big 12: 0-11, ACC: 0-4 as favs > 7 pts, Pac 12: 1-5 as favs 2 > pts, Big East: 1-4 as favs 4 < pts, SEC: 2-5 as favs < 7 pts.

COACH ME IF YOU CAN

        • Duke's Mike Krzyzewski is 20-5 SU from the Elite 8 Round out since 1991, including 15-2 ATS when       not favored by 7 or more points

I'll be back next week with a final look at FINAL FOUR and Championship game action. In the meantime, be sure to score a copy of the 2016 PLAYBOOK Sweet 16 Tournament Supplement now for more winning insight on the NCAA Tournament thru the championship game.


For all of Marc Lawrence's plays click here


 
 
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