NBA Betting Trends: Grizzlies turning profit

By: Stephen Nover | Friday, January 14, 2011
Rudy Gay

Rudy Gay and the Grizzlies own a 23-15-1 record against the NBA spread.

Buried in the tough Western Conference and being in a small market, the Memphis Grizzlies don’t attract much media attention.

Savvy NBA bettors know about Memphis, though. The know because the Grizzlies have been one of the top pointspread teams going 23-15-1 ATS (60 percent) nearing the halfway mark of the season.

The Grizzlies don’t have a lot of depth, but are 8-1 ATS when playing in the second of back-to-back games. Spurred by underrated players Rudy Gay and Zach Randolph, Memphis has covered 14 of its past 20 matchups and is 9-4 ATS in its last 13 away contests.

Amare Stoudamire is in the talk for first-half MVP honors. If there were a pointspread MVP, Stoudamire would win. Sparked by Stoudamire and another newcomer, point guard Raymond Felton, the New York Knicks have the best spread mark at 25-12-1 (67 percent).

The Knicks have fared surprisingly well versus Western Conference foes covering 12 of the last 13 times. New York also is 13-3 during its past 16 road games.

Doug Collins is doing an outstanding job in his first season as coach of Philadelphia judging by the 76ers’ 24-13-1 (64 percent) ATS record.

Maybe it’s all the Carmelo Anthony distracting trade rumors, but the Denver Nuggets have one of the worst spread marks at 14-21-3 (40 percent).

Denver is just 5-16-2 ATS when playing Eastern Conference opponents despite rolling past the Miami Heat, 130-102, this past Thursday night.

The three worst pointspread teams are Sacramento at 12-23-1 (34 percent), Cleveland at 13-24-1 (35 percent) and Phoenix at 13-22-2 (37 percent). The Suns are lucky to even have that record since in their last game this past Wednesday night they beat New Jersey, 118-109 in overtime, as six-point home favorites.

Even though those backing the Nets in that matchup were very unlucky, it’s probably best to avoid New Jersey on the road. The Nets have now failed to cover in 11 of their past 13 away matchups.

Washington, of course, is a team to stay away from when on the road. The Wizards were the only winless road club at 0-19 with a 5-14 ATS mark, including 1-7 in their last eight road contests.

Since making a six-player deal with Orlando on Dec. 18, the Suns have gone 4-7-1 ATS. Phoenix is just 2-7-1 ATS in its past 10 home contests.

The Magic, however, have been on a tear covering eight of the last 11 times. Prior to that Orlando was 1-8 ATS.

Miami has been on a good pointspread run, too, going 15-8 ATS and 11-4 ATS on the road.

The two-time defending world champion Los Angeles Lakers have picked up their road play recently going 5-2-1 ATS in their past eight away matchups.

The Los Angeles Clippers are off a huge 111-105 home win against Miami as seven-point favorites this past Wednesday. Still, the Clippers are 3-10 ATS versus Eastern Conference competition.

Dallas has really been struggling without Dirk Nowitzki. The Mavericks have lost and failed to cover in six of eight games without Nowitzki, the NBA’s seventh-leading scorer at 24.1 points per game who has been sidelined with a knee injury.

Utah has gone cold at home failing to cover its last five games in Salt Lake City.

Houston has been a money-making when taking points at home covering 11 of the last 17 it has been a home ‘dog.

Minnesota has the second-worst record in the Western Conference. The Timberwolves, however, are 8-3 ATS the last 11 times they’ve been underdogs.

Boston has been strong following a loss. The Celtics are 16-6 ATS after suffering a defeat.

 
 
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