The home team is 13-4 ATS in the last 17 meetings between Memphis and Miami.
Miami (44-21 straight up, 30-34-1 against the spread) continues its six-game homestand Saturday against Memphis (36-30 SU, 41-24-1 ATS). The Heat remain the third seed in the Eastern Conference despite some recent troubles, and they are 23-9 SU and 12-20 ATS on their home court.
The Grizzlies would nab the eighth and final playoff spot in the Western Conference if the regular season ended today. Memphis is a modest 14-20 SU on the road, but maintains a solid 22-12 ATS ledger. The Grizzlies have seen the ‘under’ go 8-3 their past 11 road endeavors.
Memphis had strung together back-to-back SU and ATS victories before Wednesday’s setback to New York as a 4 ½-point home ‘chalk,’ 110-108. The combined 218 points eclipsed the 210 ½-point closing total, helping the ‘over’ cash the fifth consecutive contest.
The Grizzlies rallied by outscoring the Knicks in the fourth quarter, 26-14, and the game appeared to be going into overtime until New York’s Carmelo Anthony hit the game-winning shot at the buzzer. Memphis lost despite shooting a stellar 54 percent (36-of-67) from the field and 60 percent (3-of-5) from behind the arc. The Grizzlies also hit 33-of-35 free throws, while the Knicks shot and made all four of their attempts.
Memphis shooting guard Tony Allen led a balanced attack with 22 points, while power forward Zach Randolph provided 20 and 11 rebounds. Point guard Mike Conley had 20 and six assists in the setback, while forward Darrell Arthur accounted for 21 and seven boards.
Miami was mired in high-profile five-game SU losing streak before beating the Los Angeles Lakers Thursday as a one-point home underdog, 94-88. The combined 182 points failed to eclipse the 189 ½-point closing total, helping the ‘under’ improve to 4-2 the previous six games. The Heat had failed to cover seven consecutive contests before upending the two-time defending champions.
Miami prevailed by outscoring the Lakers in the fourth quarter, 26-18. The Heat won the rebounding battle, 46-37, and points in the paint, 46-30. Miami shot a solid 46 percent (37-of-81) from the field, and 42 percent (8-of-19) from 3-point land.
Power forward Chris Bosh stepped up with 24 points and nine rebounds, while forward LeBron James provided 19 and nine assists. Guard Dwyane Wade had 20 and five in the victory, while Mario Chalmers added nine.
Memphis beat Miami in the lone encounter this season Nov. 20 as a 5 ½-point home underdog, 97-95. The combined 192 points slithered below the 193-point closing total, helping the ‘under’ improve to 6-1 the previous seven meetings. The home team is 13-4 ATS the last 17 games in this series.
Memphis forward Rudy Gay is ‘out’ indefinitely due to a shoulder injury, while guard Jason Williams (back) is ‘questionable’ versus the Heat. The Grizzlies follow this contest with a home game against the Los Angeles Clippers.
Miami center Dexter Pittman remains ‘out’ of action due to a knee injury. The Heat conclude their homestand with games against San Antonio and Oklahoma City. Miami has seen the ‘over’ go 9-2 its last 11 home games against Western Conference opponents.
Saturday’s matchup is scheduled to start at 12:30 p.m. PT from Miami’s American Airlines Arena.