NASCAR Odds Like Hamlin In Michigan

By: Adam Markowitz | Thursday, August 18, 2011

We're winding down to the end of the NASCAR betting regular season before the Chase for the Sprint Cup begins! With just four races to go before the Chase, 43 drivers will take to the track for the Pure Michigan 400.

The second race of the year at Michigan International Speedway gets started on Sunday, August 21 at 10:16 a.m. (PT). Live coverage is slated for ESPN.

The cut line right now between Tony Stewart in 10th place and Clint Bowyer in 11th is quite large at 25 points, so there are a number of drivers that are going to be vying for those two Wild Card slots. It seems as though Brad Keselowski is in the mix with two wins, which should make him one of the entrants into the Chase as long as he sticks in the Top 20.

The question marks like Bowyer, Denny Hamlin, and Greg Biffle are the drivers that we are really watching for this weekend to see if they can make a move up the ladder in the NASCAR standings.

Hamlin, a +800 favorite on the Don Best odds screen, was the winner of the Heluva Good! Sour Cream Dips 400 on June 19, and he has dominated this track of late. In his last five races here in Brooklyn, MI, Hamlin has won twice and has four finishes in the Top 3.

With a win, Hamlin would have two victories on the season and virtually would not be able to be caught for a Wild Card berth whether he gets into the Top 10 by the middle of September or not.

The big question about Hamlin is going to be how he runs with his new engine. The switch is being made in his Joe Gibbs Racing machine and not in Kyle Busch's machine thanks to the fact that Busch is one of the co-leaders in the Sprint Cup standings.

Busch is also lined at +800 on the NASCAR betting lines. He's tied for the lead this year in trips to Victory Lane with three, and he has just missed over the last two weeks of winning for the fourth time. Busch ended up finishing third at the Heluva Good! Sour Cream Dips at The Glen last week and was second at the Good Sam RV Insurance 500 the week before.

In the first race here at Michigan this season, Busch finished third, and he'll surely be one to watch out for this weekend as well.

Even though Carl Edwards has 14 Top 10 finishes in the 22 races this year, he just hasn't felt like a man that is truly dangerous on the track to win every single week. He hasn't finished better than fifth since June 26, and he hasn't won a race since way back on March 6.

However, Edwards is a great NASCAR pick this week at +700. Roush Racing has a great history here a Michigan International Speedway, and so does Edwards. He's got a pair of wins on this track already, and he has 12 Top 10 finishes in his 14 career races. That's more Top 10s than he has at any other track.

Weather won't be an issue this weekend. Temperatures are going to be in the high-70s or low-80s, and there is virtually no chance for rain.

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