We’re in a ‘New York State of Mind’ on Tuesday with the Yankees and Mets both highlighting some terrific Interleague Play on the diamond.
Let’s first look at Monday’s action where the Angels’ Jerome Williams will square off against San Francisco’s Matt Cain in Anaheim. Cain is coming off a perfect game against Houston and his team is a 113 road favorite on the Don Best Odds with a total of seven (‘over’ -120).
Don Best Baseball analyst Kenny White hasn’t crunched all the numbers, but knows it’s been profitable this year to go against pitchers the game following a no-hitter. Williams has been hit hard his last two starts, but has a 2.93 ERA at home versus 5.70 away.
The Angels are also hot right now, winning six of their last seven series, including against heavyweights like the Yankees, Rangers and Dodgers. Total bettors will note that the ‘under’ is 6-0 in Los Angeles’ last six games.
Jumping ahead to Tuesday, the Yankees are hosting the Braves in the middle game of a 3-game set. Hiroki Kuroda is on the hill for the home team who are 160 favorites with a total of 8½ (shaded to the ‘over’). Tim Hudson is pitching for Atlanta.
The Yanks have restored order in the AL East with 9-straight wins (13-2 in the last 15) pending Monday’s result. That includes a 3-game sweep in Atlanta. Kuroda has allowed just four earned runs over his last four starts (28 innings) and sports a 2.79 ERA at Yankee Stadium.
Kuroda and New York beat the Braves last week (3-2), but he did allow nine hits over six innings, so Atlanta hitters do have some confidence heading into the contest. Hudson pitches much better on the road (2.12 ERA) versus in Atlanta (5.64 ERA), which is another reason to look at the visitors.
Also on Tuesday is the Baltimore Orioles visiting the New York Mets. Baltimore’s Tommy Hunter has been horrible on the road with an 8.31 ERA, but his team has won 4-straight series. Johan Santana (4-3, 3.23 ERA) is the opposition and is a 145 favorite with a total of 7½ (shaded to the ‘over’).
Don Best’s White points out that Santana has had two rough outings since his no-hitter, but he expects him to bounce back Tuesday with his miniscule 1.30 home ERA. The Mets have been and up-and-down team with sweeps in their last three series. They were on the losing end of two of those, including this past weekend at home against Cincinnati.
This looks like a good opportunity for New York with this decisive home-and-away pitching trend advantage.