MLB Betting: Yankees aim for sweep of Twins

By: Brad Young | Friday, October 8, 2010
Derek Jeter

Derek Jeter and the Yankees take on the Twins at home in Game 3.

New York has its sights set on sweeping Minnesota out of the playoffs for the second consecutive season.  The Yankees won both matchups in the Twins’ new Target Field, and can close out this best-of-five series with Saturday’s contest.

Minnesota has now lost 11 straight postseason games, including the last eight against New York.  The Yankees have trailed in each of those contests before recording the victory.  New York has now outscored the Twins, 42-8, when Minnesota has the biggest lead in those games.

Don Best's Real-Time Odds has New York listed as 175 home ‘chalk’ over Minnesota, with the total set at nine.  Saturday’s first pitch is scheduled for 5:37 p.m. PT from Yankee Stadium.

Minnesota left-hander Brian Duensing (10-3, 2.62 ERA) picked up a no-decision last Saturday in his regular-season finale against Toronto.  The second-year starter went five innings, allowing four runs on seven hits (one home run) with four walks and three strikeouts on 89 pitches.

Top MLB Betting Odds at 5Dimes.

The Twins eventually won that matchup as a 109 home selection, 5-4.  The combined nine runs eclipsed the 7 ½-run closing total, helping the ‘over’ improve to 3-1 his last four starts.

Duensing has only faced the Yankees once in his major league career, losing in the 2009 postseason as a decided 320 road underdog, 7-2.  The former Nebraska Cornhusker was reached for five runs on seven hits (one home run) with a walk and three strikeouts over 4 2/3 innings and 79 pitches.  The combined nine runs slithered ‘under’ the 9 ½-run closing total.

Minnesota, a modest 41-40 away from home, is just 2-10 its last 12 games overall.  The Twins are a lackluster 6-29 their last 35 games in New York, and 18-56 the previous 74 meetings.  Minnesota has seen the ‘over’ go 7-2 its last nine road outings.

New York’s Philip Hughes (18-8, 4.19 ERA) beat Boston Sept. 26 in his last regular season start as a 183 home favorite, 4-3.  The 6-foot-5 hurler tossed six innings, surrendering a run on three hits with four walks and four strikeouts on 105 pitches.

The combined seven runs failed to topple the 9 ½-run closing total, helping the ‘under’ improve to 2-1 his last three starts.  Hughes did throw one inning against the Red Sox last Saturday in a final tune-up for the postseason, yielding no runs or hits while striking out two.

Top MLB Betting Odds at 5Dimes.

The 24-year-old has only one career start versus the Twins, winning last year’s matchup as 127 home ‘chalk,’ 5-4.  Hughes went five innings, allowing three runs on six hits (two home runs) with four walks and two strikeouts on 93 pitches.  The combined nine runs went ‘under’ the 10 ½-run closing total.

New York, a stellar 52-29 at Yankee Stadium, sports a 7-1 home record its last eight playoff games.  The ‘under’ has gone 6-1-1 during those eight matchups.

Saturday’s home-plate umpire will be Greg Gibson, who has seen the ‘under’ go a robust 24-7 in 35 games behind the dish.  There has been an average of just 7.2 runs per game, with 6.9 walks and 14.6 strikeouts.

Saturday’s forecast for Yankee Stadium calls for sunny skies, with a high of 70 degrees and a low of 46.

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