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TORONTO (87-72) AT BOSTON (92-67) 
Premium Matchup Information Starting Pitchers
TeamsLineW-LOv/Un/PRF/RAStartersRECERAWHIP
917: TORONTO
918: BOSTON
8.5
-148
87-72
92-67
63-90-6
77-75-7
4.7 / 4.1
5.5 / 4.3
(R) M ESTRADA
(R) R PORCELLO
9-9
22-4
3.53
3.11
1.12
0.99
Current Weather Conditions 
Conditions: Overcast   Temperature: 71.0 °
Humidity: 84   Wind: East at 10.4 MPH (9 KT)
 
Starting Pitcher Season to Date Performance
MARCO ESTRADA recent results and season statistics
MARCO ESTRADA - Season Statistics in Games Started
 Starter StatisticsTeam Records
 ERAWHIPW-LGIPIP/SRERHHRBBSOW-LUnitsO-U
All Starts3.531.1179-9281716.17267128236316115-13-3.312-16
Road Starts3.481.0166-21382.76.43432581126738-5+1.96-7
Last 3 Starts2.330.8791-1319.36.455928222-1+0.71-2
MARCO ESTRADA - Recent Starts
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
9/25/2016NY YANKEES4-3-1208.5Win,Under 7114127PINEDA(R)
9/19/2016at SEATTLE3-2+1058.5Win,UnderW7001038WALKER(R)
9/14/2016TAMPA BAY1-8-1408.5Loss,OverL5.3444137COBB(R)

RICK PORCELLO recent results and season statistics
RICK PORCELLO - Season Statistics in Games Started
 Starter StatisticsTeam Records
 ERAWHIPW-LGIPIP/SRERHHRBBSOW-LUnitsO-U
All Starts3.110.99122-4322176.88275185223018324-8+13.618-13
Home Starts2.880.99013-1151006.73432887118314-1+12.57-7
Last 3 Starts2.310.7292-1323.37.8661621222-1+0.51-2
RICK PORCELLO - Recent Starts
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
9/24/2016at TAMPA BAY6-4-1358Win,OverW6.3338019ANDRIESE(R)
9/19/2016at BALTIMORE5-2-1259Win,UnderW9224107BUNDY(R)
9/14/2016BALTIMORE0-1-1509.5Loss,UnderL8114106GAUSMAN(R)
Pitcher Versus Team Past History
MARCO ESTRADA vs. BOSTON since 1997
ESTRADA is 3-3 when starting against BOSTON with an ERA of 4.21 and a WHIP of 1.486.
His team's record is 4-3 (+0.9 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-5. (-3.3 units)
MARCO ESTRADA recent starts vs. BOSTON
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
9/9/2016BOSTON3-13-1059Loss,OverL2.3436032PORCELLO(R)
6/5/2016at BOSTON5-4+1009.5Win,UnderW8222135RODRIGUEZ(L)
4/16/2016at BOSTON2-4+1258Loss,UnderL6448113PRICE(L)

RICK PORCELLO vs. TORONTO since 1997
PORCELLO is 7-6 when starting against TORONTO with an ERA of 5.08 and a WHIP of 1.196.
His team's record is 7-8 (-1.1 units) in these starts. The OVER is 9-5. (+3.3 units)
RICK PORCELLO recent starts vs. TORONTO
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
9/9/2016at TORONTO13-3-1059Win,OverW7226017ESTRADA(R)
5/28/2016at TORONTO9-10+1259Loss,Over 6.7447115STROMAN(R)
4/15/2016TORONTO5-3-1208.5Win,UnderW6.3332218DICKEY(R)
Current Season Results And Upcoming Games
Here are the most recent results and upcoming schedules for the two teams involved. Lines, total, game scores, results versus the spread, straight up and against the total are all displayed.
TORONTO - Schedule
 Team StatsOpp Stats
DateTeam StarterOpponentOpp StarterScoreW/LLineTot.O/UHLOBEHLOBE
9/16/2016DICKEY(R)@ LA ANGELSWEAVER(R)5-0W-1359 evU10908130
9/17/2016LIRIANO(L)@ LA ANGELSNOLASCO(R)1-6L-1359 ovU10123840
9/18/2016STROMAN(R)@ LA ANGELSMEYER(R)0-4L-1509.5 unU47110110
9/19/2016ESTRADA(R)@ SEATTLEWALKER(R)3-2W1058.5 unU890360
9/20/2016HAPP(L)@ SEATTLEIWAKUMA(R)10-2W-1158 unO1470781
9/21/2016SANCHEZ(R)@ SEATTLEHERNANDEZ(R)1-2L-1308 ovU6826120
9/23/2016LIRIANO(L)NY YANKEESMITCHELL(R)9-0W-2059.5 unU1391362
9/24/2016STROMAN(R)NY YANKEESSABATHIA(L)3-0W-2308.5 ovU660330
9/25/2016ESTRADA(R)NY YANKEESPINEDA(R)4-3W-1208.5 unU9100871
9/26/2016HAPP(L)NY YANKEESSEVERINO(R)5-7L-2008.5 ovO61021161
9/27/2016SANCHEZ(R)BALTIMOREGAUSMAN(R)5-1W-1258.5 unU950891
9/28/2016LIRIANO(L)BALTIMORETILLMAN(R)2-3L-1459 unU6801182
9/29/2016STROMAN(R)BALTIMOREJIMENEZ(R)0-4L-2008.5 evU350970
9/30/2016ESTRADA(R)@ BOSTONPORCELLO(R) 
10/1/2016HAPP(L)@ BOSTONRODRIGUEZ(L) 
10/2/2016SANCHEZ(R)@ BOSTONPRICE(L) 

BOSTON - Schedule
 Team StatsOpp Stats
DateTeam StarterOpponentOpp StarterScoreW/LLineTot.O/UHLOBEHLOBE
9/16/2016BUCHHOLZ(R)NY YANKEESCESSA(R)7-4W-17010 ovO1240980
9/17/2016PRICE(L)NY YANKEESMITCHELL(R)6-5W-2459.5 ovO1070950
9/18/2016POMERANZ(L)NY YANKEESSABATHIA(L)5-4W-1709 ovP10801191
9/19/2016PORCELLO(R)@ BALTIMOREBUNDY(R)5-2W-1259 unU950431
9/20/2016RODRIGUEZ(L)@ BALTIMOREGAUSMAN(R)5-2W1358.5 unU1170660
9/21/2016BUCHHOLZ(R)@ BALTIMOREJIMENEZ(R)5-1W-10510 unU650463
9/22/2016PRICE(L)@ BALTIMORETILLMAN(R)5-3W-1258.5 unU9100661
9/23/2016POMERANZ(L)@ TAMPA BAYARCHER(R)2-1W-1107.5 unU9110660
9/24/2016PORCELLO(R)@ TAMPA BAYANDRIESE(R)6-4W-1358 unO8201170
9/25/2016RODRIGUEZ(L)@ TAMPA BAYODORIZZI(R)3-2W-1258 unU880781
9/27/2016PRICE(L)@ NY YANKEESCESSA(R)4-6L-2258.5 ovO10811351
9/28/2016BUCHHOLZ(R)@ NY YANKEESMITCHELL(R)3-5L-1209 ovU590331
9/29/2016OWENS(L)@ NY YANKEESSABATHIA(L)1-5L1459 unU4308100
9/30/2016PORCELLO(R)TORONTOESTRADA(R) 
10/1/2016RODRIGUEZ(L)TORONTOHAPP(L) 
10/2/2016PRICE(L)TORONTOSANCHEZ(R) 
Team Statistics
Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green.
TORONTO - Current Season Performance
 Team RecordsTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsO-URunsAvgOBPSLGOPSRunsAvgOBPSLGOPS
All Games87-72-10.263-904.70.2480.3250.4120.7384.10.2420.3000.3940.694
Road Games41-37-3.527-484.50.2370.3120.3970.7093.80.2370.2950.3800.675
vs Right-handed Starters65-52-4.553-634.90.2530.3310.4200.7514.30.2450.3010.4000.701
Past 7 Games4-3-1.41-64.00.2440.3510.3570.7082.60.2270.2770.3390.616
Grass Games36-32-2.623-434.50.2420.3160.4040.7203.80.2360.2950.3750.670
Night Games53-46-10.137-604.50.2450.3220.4040.7264.00.2410.2990.3920.690
Division38-35-7.630-424.50.2360.3180.3900.7084.40.2500.3110.4160.727
TORONTO - Team Hitting and Fielding Statistics
Team BattingTeam BattingTeam Fielding
 RunsAVGOBPGABH2B3BHRSLGRBIBBSOSBLOBGIDPERRDPOSB
All Games4.70.2480.32515953811336250181990.41272061513364910921698614277
Road Games4.50.2370.312782693637105101020.3973352966922253276416538
Righty Starters4.90.2530.33111739791008195151460.420550463994398161276910054
TORONTO - Bullpen Pitching Statistics
 ERAWHIPIPRERHHRBBSOW-LSVBSVPct.
All Games4.101.264456.32232084436313446522-31422067.7%
Road Games3.761.259198.6928318727632186-18211067.7%

BOSTON - Current Season Performance
 Team RecordsTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsO-URunsAvgOBPSLGOPSRunsAvgOBPSLGOPS
All Games92-67+3.777-755.50.2830.3470.4480.7954.30.2460.3070.3890.696
Home Games46-32-2.242-326.00.3030.3650.4770.8424.80.2610.3170.4170.734
vs Right-handed Starters72-51+2.260-575.50.2880.3530.4550.8084.30.2470.3080.3870.695
Past 7 Games4-3-0.42-53.40.2280.3250.3490.6743.70.2360.3030.3800.683
Grass Games81-59+167-665.50.2860.3490.4540.8034.30.2450.3070.3870.694
Night Games65-45+3.155-505.50.2840.3480.4500.7974.30.2440.3030.3880.690
Division42-31+2.530-404.90.2680.3350.4250.7604.20.2390.2990.3900.689
BOSTON - Team Hitting and Fielding Statistics
Team BattingTeam BattingTeam Fielding
 RunsAVGOBPGABH2B3BHRSLGRBIBBSOSBLOBGIDPERRDPOSB
All Games5.50.2830.34715955741579304211910.44882954711427611411517413751
Home Games6.00.3030.36578272382617711910.4774482655023357668397629
Righty Starters5.50.2880.35312343371251254201430.455652430886668991175410743
BOSTON - Bullpen Pitching Statistics
 ERAWHIPIPRERHHRBBSOW-LSVBSVPct.
All Games3.641.286460.42031864044718850024-25421870%
Home Games3.881.337248.3118107240249226011-1320969%
Head-to-Head Series History
Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups.
Games over the last 3 seasons
TORONTO is 29-25 (+0.7 Units) against BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
26 of 51 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=-1.1 Units, Under=-4.1 Units)
Games this season
BOSTON is 8-8 (+0.0 Units) against TORONTO this season
9 of 16 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.1 Units)

All games at BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
TORONTO is 16-9 (+8.4 Units) against BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
12 of 24 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=-1.6 Units, Under=-0.7 Units)
Games played at BOSTON this season.
TORONTO is 4-3 (+1.6 Units) against BOSTON this season
6 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+5.0 Units)

 Team StatsStarting Pitcher Stats
DateTeamsScoreLineTotalResultHHRSBLOBERRStarterW/LIPERHBB
9/11/2016BOSTON11+135  113162BUCHHOLZ(R) 3644
 TORONTO8-1459 evOver82071SANCHEZ(R) 3.7654
9/10/2016BOSTON2+140 Under41161RODRIGUEZ(L)L6242
 TORONTO3-1509.5 ovWin61171HAPP(L)W6241
9/9/2016BOSTON13-105  182191PORCELLO(R)W7261
 TORONTO3-1059 evOver90082ESTRADA(R)L2.3363
Team Trends and Angles
All team trends listed below apply to the current game.
TORONTO team trends
 Win/Loss recordOver/Under
 Current YearLast 3 YearsSince 1997  CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LUnitsW-LUnitsW-LUnitsO-UO-UO-U
in all games87-72-10.2268-226-3.31634-1614-49.263-90225-2471505-1594
when the total is 9 to 9.541-29-0.2112-74+14.3694-649+13.827-4080-96631-639
as a road underdog of +125 to +1501-6-4.612-31-14.8146-197+0.22-516-25146-184
in road games41-37-3.5120-125-11.2743-878-54.127-48116-118743-812
on the road when the total is 9 to 9.516-12+0.940-29+7275-343-37.911-1635-31292-297
in September games11-15-11.343-36-3.2280-249+29.510-1636-41234-274
when playing on Friday14-11+0.439-41-8.2257-261-20.710-1538-41254-249
against division opponents38-35-7.6119-106-3.2676-703-13.330-42102-113640-672
in games played on a grass field36-32-2.6106-110-10.5623-736-30.523-43102-106625-683
in night games53-46-10.1164-141-5.11039-1037-33.837-60139-157972-1019
against right-handed starters65-52-4.5202-169+4.41219-1177-5.553-63173-1811097-1190
after getting shut out5-2+2.712-10-0.386-75+184-38-1272-82
after a loss41-30-0.1123-98+5.8813-792+1430-3897-118761-777
when playing against a team with a winning record50-39-0.6134-108+9.3781-869+1.232-55103-132769-806
when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season26-19-0.372-56+5.1405-478-7.213-3250-75402-443

BOSTON team trends
 Win/Loss recordOver/Under
 Current YearLast 3 YearsSince 1997  CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LUnitsW-LUnitsW-LUnitsO-UO-UO-U
in all games92-67+3.6241-243-30.91821-1506-63.177-75231-2341548-1615
when the total is 9 to 9.530-29-8.179-77-13.8654-588-81.630-2573-72584-593
as a home favorite of -150 to -17510-10-5.728-24-10.1232-169-41.410-723-25191-195
in home games46-32-2.2123-118-30.6965-697-48.842-32120-113793-783
at home when the total is 9 to 9.515-16-8.947-51-21350-278-49.118-1150-42311-291
in September games18-8+7.246-33+16.4282-255-34.211-1438-39245-271
when playing on Friday17-8+844-33+11.9286-228+15.612-1135-36235-246
against division opponents42-31+2.6108-118-18.5749-661-60.930-40101-118669-683
in games played on a grass field81-59+0.9211-215-36.91606-1297-4067-66205-2041335-1416
in night games65-45+3.1168-169-23.71257-1033-49.455-50160-1651075-1105
against right-handed starters72-51+2.1178-174-18.11317-1047-0.860-57171-1661101-1140
after a loss37-30-2.4120-119-11.6823-676-11.932-31115-113666-748
after 3 or more consecutive losses8-1+6.330-31-3.8166-138+4.25-434-23147-142
when playing against a team with a winning record39-32-2.8110-127-24.3805-797-75.929-38107-117721-804
when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season25-18+1.462-71-7427-455-60.618-2363-65398-446
Team Line Action - Where the money is going!
Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%.
As indicated by the movement of the line, the betting public is favoring BOSTON in this game.
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in TORONTO games 0% of the time since 1997. (0-1312, -107.6 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in TORONTO games 52.4% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (232-211, -14.9 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in BOSTON games 50.5% of the time since 1997. (1356-1328, -143.2 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in BOSTON games 53.9% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (229-196, +5.0 units)
Edge=TORONTO
 
The betting public is favoring the UNDER in this game.
The betting public is correct when moving the total in TORONTO games 52.3% of the time since 1997. (1140-1040, -39.9 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in TORONTO games 50.5% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (223-219, -24.3 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in BOSTON games 52.4% of the time since 1997. (1195-1086, -43.7 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in BOSTON games 54.5% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (237-198, +11.2 units)
No Edge.
Power Rating Line
The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated.
 Power Line
TeamPitcherEstimateEdge
TORONTOESTRADA +105 
BOSTONPORCELLO-105 
Key Player Injuries
TORONTO
[P] 09/27/2016 - Joaquin Benoit out indefinitely ( Calf )
[P] 06/27/2016 - Gavin Floyd 60-day DL (6/26) ( Shoulder )
BOSTON
[P] 09/29/2016 - Drew Pomeranz "?" next start ( Forearm )
[P] 09/07/2016 - Steven Wright out indefinitely ( Shoulder )
[2B] 06/17/2016 - Josh Rutledge 60-day DL (6/15) ( Knee )
[P] 06/07/2016 - Carson Smith 60-day DL (5/15) ( Elbow )
[C] 06/06/2016 - Blake Swihart 60-day DL (6/5) ( Ankle )
[3B] 05/03/2016 - Pablo Sandoval 60-day DL (4/11); out for season ( Shoulder )
[P] 04/04/2016 - Brandon Workman 60-day DL (3/25) ( Elbow )
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