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MILWAUKEE (41-38) AT CINCINNATI (32-44) 
Premium Matchup Information Starting Pitchers
TeamsLineW-LOv/Un/PRF/RAStartersRECERAWHIP
907: MILWAUKEE
908: CINCINNATI
10.0
-103
41-38
32-44
43-31-5
46-26-4
4.8 / 4.6
4.9 / 5.5
(R) J NELSON
(R) H BAILEY
5-4
0-1
3.50
43.11
1.30
5.39
Current Weather Conditions 
Conditions: Mostly Cloudy   Temperature: 54.0 °
Humidity: 47   Wind: South at 3.5 MPH (3 KT)
 
Starting Pitcher Season to Date Performance
JIMMY NELSON recent results and season statistics
JIMMY NELSON - Season Statistics in Games Started
 Starter StatisticsTeam Records
 ERAWHIPW-LGIPIP/SRERHHRBBSOW-LUnitsO-U
All Starts3.501.3005-415906.0383593824937-8-0.76-7
Road Starts5.061.3442-16325.318183647303-3+0.13-2
Last 3 Starts3.661.4231-1319.76.6982117222-1+11-1
JIMMY NELSON - Recent Starts
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
6/23/2017at ATLANTA4-5-1059LossL5446138FOLTYNEWICZ(R)
6/18/2017SAN DIEGO2-1-1608.5Win,UnderW91060210PERDOMO(R)
6/13/2017at ST LOUIS8-5-1259Win,Over 5.7449024GONZALES(L)

HOMER BAILEY recent results and season statistics
HOMER BAILEY - Season Statistics in Games Started
 Starter StatisticsTeam Records
 ERAWHIPW-LGIPIP/SRERHHRBBSOW-LUnitsO-U
All Starts43.115.3890-111.71.78860320-1-11-0
Home Starts0.000.0000-00010000000-000-0
Last 3 Starts43.115.3890-111.71.78860320-1-11-0
HOMER BAILEY - Recent Starts
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
6/24/2017at WASHINGTON3-18+13510Loss,OverL1.7886032ROSS(R)
8/28/2016at ARIZONA2-11-1159.5Loss,OverL1435000BRADLEY(R)
8/22/2016LA DODGERS9-18+1158.5Loss,OverL2.3669110KAZMIR(L)
Pitcher Versus Team Past History
JIMMY NELSON vs. CINCINNATI since 1997
NELSON is 4-3 when starting against CINCINNATI with an ERA of 4.47 and a WHIP of 1.372.
His team's record is 6-4 (+1.8 units) in these starts. The OVER is 6-3. (+3.0 units)
JIMMY NELSON recent starts vs. CINCINNATI
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
4/13/2017at CINCINNATI5-1-1159Win,UnderW7115005ARROYO(R)
8/12/2016CINCINNATI4-7+1008.5Loss,OverL5336137BAILEY(R)
7/16/2016at CINCINNATI9-1-1109.5Win,OverW7006027LAMB(L)

HOMER BAILEY vs. MILWAUKEE since 1997
BAILEY is 5-8 when starting against MILWAUKEE with an ERA of 4.64 and a WHIP of 1.349.
His team's record is 10-12 (-4.4 units) in these starts. The OVER is 11-11. (-0.9 units)
HOMER BAILEY recent starts vs. MILWAUKEE
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
8/12/2016at MILWAUKEE7-4-1108.5Win,OverW60030111NELSON(R)
4/23/2015at MILWAUKEE2-4+1008Loss,Under 5.7227213LOHSE(R)
7/22/2014at MILWAUKEE3-4+1208Loss,Under 6334323NELSON(R)
Current Season Results And Upcoming Games
Here are the most recent results and upcoming schedules for the two teams involved. Lines, total, game scores, results versus the spread, straight up and against the total are all displayed.
MILWAUKEE - Schedule
 Team StatsOpp Stats
DateTeam StarterOpponentOpp StarterScoreW/LLineTot.O/UHLOBEHLOBE
6/15/2017DAVIES(R)@ ST LOUISWACHA(R)6-4W1309.5 unO1160960
6/16/2017GUERRA(R)SAN DIEGODIAZ(R)6-5W-15010 evO1053460
6/17/2017ANDERSON(R)SAN DIEGOLAMET(R)5-7L-1559.5 unO741961
6/18/2017NELSON(R)SAN DIEGOPERDOMO(R)2-1W-1608.5 ovU962661
6/19/2017GARZA(R)PITTSBURGHCOLE(R)1-8L+1109 ovP5621170
6/20/2017DAVIES(R)PITTSBURGHKUHL(R)3-7L-1159.5 unO91111171
6/21/2017GUERRA(R)PITTSBURGHWILLIAMS(R)4-3W-1259.5 unU8611090
6/22/2017ANDERSON(R)PITTSBURGHNOVA(R)4-2W-1259 ovU1161440
6/23/2017NELSON(R)@ ATLANTAFOLTYNEWICZ(R)4-5L-1059 unP7102890
6/24/2017GARZA(R)@ ATLANTADICKEY(R)1-3L-1059.5 unU660970
6/25/2017DAVIES(R)@ ATLANTATEHERAN(R)7-0W-1059.5 unU1161571
6/27/2017GUERRA(R)@ CINCINNATIADLEMAN(R)6-8L12010.5 evO9601050
6/28/2017ANDERSON(R)@ CINCINNATICASTILLO(R) 
6/29/2017NELSON(R)@ CINCINNATIBAILEY(R) 
6/30/2017GARZA(R)MIAMINICOLINO(L) 
7/1/2017DAVIES(R)MIAMIVOLQUEZ(R) 
7/2/2017GUERRA(R)MIAMISTRAILY(R) 
7/3/2017ANDERSON(R)BALTIMOREMILEY(L) 
7/4/2017NELSON(R)BALTIMOREJIMENEZ(R) 
7/5/2017 BALTIMORE  

CINCINNATI - Schedule
 Team StatsOpp Stats
DateTeam StarterOpponentOpp StarterScoreW/LLineTot.O/UHLOBEHLOBE
6/16/2017ADLEMAN(R)LA DODGERSWOOD(L)1-3L+1559.5 unU5307100
6/17/2017WOJCIECHOWSKI(R)LA DODGERSRYU(L)2-10L+13510.5 ovO111021281
6/18/2017ARROYO(R)LA DODGERSMAEDA(R)7-8L+16011 ovO9801070
6/19/2017FELDMAN(R)@ TAMPA BAYODORIZZI(R)7-3W1359 ovO991750
6/20/2017GARRETT(L)@ TAMPA BAYCOBB(R)5-6L1309 ovO13100860
6/21/2017ADLEMAN(R)@ TAMPA BAYRAMIREZ(R)3-8L1009 unO5801471
6/23/2017CASTILLO(R)@ WASHINGTONSTRASBURG(R)5-6L2259 evO99013130
6/24/2017BAILEY(R)@ WASHINGTONROSS(R)3-18L13510 ovO10731990
6/25/2017FELDMAN(R)@ WASHINGTONROARK(R)6-2W14510 ovU1260871
6/26/2017FINNEGAN(L)@ ST LOUISWACHA(R)2-8L1309 evO9711381
6/27/2017ADLEMAN(R)MILWAUKEEGUERRA(R)8-6W-13010.5 evO1050960
6/28/2017CASTILLO(R)MILWAUKEEANDERSON(R) 
6/29/2017BAILEY(R)MILWAUKEENELSON(R) 
6/30/2017FELDMAN(R)CHICAGO CUBSMONTGOMERY(L) 
7/1/2017FINNEGAN(L)CHICAGO CUBSBUTLER(R) 
7/2/2017ADLEMAN(R)CHICAGO CUBSARRIETA(R) 
7/3/2017CASTILLO(R)@ COLORADOHOFFMAN(R) 
7/4/2017BAILEY(R)@ COLORADOFREELAND(L) 
7/5/2017 @ COLORADO  
7/6/2017 @ COLORADO  
Team Statistics
Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green.
MILWAUKEE - Current Season Performance
 Team RecordsTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsO-URunsAvgOBPSLGOPSRunsAvgOBPSLGOPS
All Games41-38+9.443-314.80.2520.3180.4370.7544.60.2590.3280.4250.753
Road Games20-16+10.118-154.50.2510.3180.4230.7414.20.2510.3180.4110.729
vs Right-handed Starters33-29+9.232-264.70.2550.3220.4380.7594.30.2510.3180.4090.727
Past 7 Games3-4-1.22-44.10.2640.3250.4550.7804.00.2490.3120.4150.727
Grass Games39-38+5.843-294.80.2520.3190.4360.7544.70.2620.3290.4310.760
Night Games27-23+9.428-184.90.2580.3180.4460.7644.50.2670.3350.4290.765
Division18-16+5.522-104.90.2530.3200.4430.7635.00.2720.3400.4470.787
MILWAUKEE - Team Hitting and Fielding Statistics
Team BattingTeam BattingTeam Fielding
 RunsAVGOBPGABH2B3BHRSLGRBIBBSOSBLOBGIDPERRDPOSB
All Games4.80.2520.318792698680140141100.4373612597546152265588542
Road Games4.50.2510.318361254315626470.4231571233302926128122910
Righty Starters4.70.2550.3226221095371049880.4382782085754741958446326
MILWAUKEE - Bullpen Pitching Statistics
 ERAWHIPIPRERHHRBBSOW-LSVBSVPct.
All Games4.241.423278.31471312613413527313-19261170.3%
Road Games3.711.345119544910315571356-714670%

CINCINNATI - Current Season Performance
 Team RecordsTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsO-URunsAvgOBPSLGOPSRunsAvgOBPSLGOPS
All Games32-44-6.646-264.90.2610.3210.4400.7615.50.2650.3410.4590.800
Home Games20-18+2.323-155.50.2670.3320.4620.7935.00.2460.3210.4390.760
vs Right-handed Starters29-30+4.736-215.10.2650.3280.4460.7745.40.2630.3370.4450.782
Past 7 Games2-5-2.66-14.60.2780.3270.4690.7967.70.3430.4250.5761.001
Grass Games31-39-342-255.00.2640.3210.4420.7635.30.2600.3370.4470.784
Night Games21-24+126-164.90.2490.3130.4130.7265.00.2580.3320.4430.775
Division16-15+4.921-85.30.2680.3250.4520.7775.50.2470.3340.4290.763
CINCINNATI - Team Hitting and Fielding Statistics
Team BattingTeam BattingTeam Fielding
 RunsAVGOBPGABH2B3BHRSLGRBIBBSOSBLOBGIDPERRDPOSB
All Games4.90.2610.321762646691128231000.4403602336145453658387031
Home Games5.50.2670.3323812873446415520.4622021243142925030173613
Righty Starters5.10.2650.32859204954310017790.4462941914624541648295323
CINCINNATI - Bullpen Pitching Statistics
 ERAWHIPIPRERHHRBBSOW-LSVBSVPct.
All Games4.101.3283051481392743813128413-1316769.6%
Home Games3.561.212154.3646112217651457-510376.9%
Head-to-Head Series History
Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups.
Games over the last 3 seasons
CINCINNATI is 22-24 (-2.2 Units) against MILWAUKEE over the last 3 seasons
28 of 44 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+11.4 Units)
Games this season
MILWAUKEE is 6-2 (+4.2 Units) against CINCINNATI this season
6 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+4.0 Units)

All games at CINCINNATI over the last 3 seasons
MILWAUKEE is 13-11 (+2.1 Units) against CINCINNATI over the last 3 seasons
15 of 23 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+6.8 Units)
Games played at CINCINNATI this season.
MILWAUKEE is 3-2 (+1.2 Units) against CINCINNATI this season
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+1.0 Units)

 Team StatsStarting Pitcher Stats
DateTeamsScoreLineTotalResultHHRSBLOBERRStarterW/LIPERHBB
6/27/2017MILWAUKEE6+120 Over93160GUERRA(R)L4883
 CINCINNATI8-13010.5 evWin104050ADLEMAN(R)W5553
Team Trends and Angles
All team trends listed below apply to the current game.
MILWAUKEE team trends
 Win/Loss recordOver/Under
 Current YearLast 3 YearsSince 1997  CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LUnitsW-LUnitsW-LUnitsO-UO-UO-U
in all games41-38+9.4182-221-12.31567-1764-124.843-31200-1791573-1602
on the road when the money line is +125 to -1259-7+2.440-37+5.1356-403-39.36-738-34358-364
in road games20-16+10.186-112+2.3714-948-7318-1598-88766-820
on the road when the total is 10 to 10.51-3-1.73-4-0.179-104-5.63-14-378-99
in June games13-13+1.139-41+2.2278-280+10.212-1137-38269-259
when playing on Thursday7-4+422-25+0.6164-206-30.74-725-20180-174
when playing with a day off4-5-0.122-23+4.1174-188-0.76-321-21152-191
against division opponents18-16+5.580-106-5.4745-808-19.622-1089-86734-742
in night games27-23+9.4119-145-9.31030-1125-40.928-18129-118998-1055
against right-handed starters33-29+9.2125-173-30.91146-1314-103.132-26143-1381144-1197
when playing against a team with a losing record24-23+3.988-93-7799-791-65.123-1993-73753-742

CINCINNATI team trends
 Win/Loss recordOver/Under
 Current YearLast 3 YearsSince 1997  CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LUnitsW-LUnitsW-LUnitsO-UO-UO-U
in all games32-43-5.6163-236-45.41598-1727-93.245-26215-1641578-1569
at home when the money line is +125 to -12516-9+7.257-60-2.7410-415-15.511-1464-49408-375
in home games20-18+2.391-109-15.1837-825-100.523-15113-76820-750
at home when the total is 10 to 10.52-2-0.52-5-3.5102-110-233-15-2103-100
in June games8-15-6.233-45-6260-296-23.916-647-27267-268
when playing on Thursday4-3+1.117-21-0.8184-178+12.42-522-15173-168
when playing with a day off6-4+3.221-24-0.2171-198-24.15-521-20170-179
against division opponents16-15+4.981-102+1.1770-781+4.421-8102-70745-714
in night games21-24+0.9109-153-23.71031-1125-73.626-16141-1071025-1023
against right-handed starters29-29+5.6131-175-22.41169-1253-50.435-21166-1261157-1131
when playing against a team with a winning record12-18-2.675-131-30.7696-884-51.822-8115-82742-752
Team Line Action - Where the money is going!
Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%.
As indicated by the movement of the line, the betting public is favoring Nobody in this game.
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in MILWAUKEE games 0% of the time since 1997. (0-1261, 69.1 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in MILWAUKEE games 53.4% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (188-164, +6.2 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in CINCINNATI games 50.3% of the time since 1997. (1393-1374, -121.3 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in CINCINNATI games 50.6% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (178-174, -19.6 units)
No Edge.
 
The betting public is favoring nothing on the total in this game.
The betting public is correct when moving the total in MILWAUKEE games 50.4% of the time since 1997. (1100-1081, -129.4 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in MILWAUKEE games 51% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (183-176, -19.8 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in CINCINNATI games 51.7% of the time since 1997. (1142-1066, -75.3 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in CINCINNATI games 49.2% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (174-180, -33.6 units)
No Edge.
Power Rating Line
The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated.
 Power Line
TeamPitcherEstimateEdge
MILWAUKEENELSON-144 
CINCINNATIBAILEY +144 
Key Player Injuries
MILWAUKEE
[P] 06/21/2017 - Wily Peralta 10-day DL (06/21) ( Calf )
[P] 06/14/2017 - Brandon Woodruff 10-day DL (06/13) ( Hamstring )
CINCINNATI
[P] 06/28/2017 - Brandon Finnegan out indefinitely ( Tricep )
[P] 06/26/2017 - Bronson Arroyo 60-day DL (06/19) ( Shoulder )
[SS] 06/19/2017 - Zack Cozart 10-day DL (06/18) ( Quad )
[P] 06/18/2017 - Anthony DeSclafani 60-day DL (04/02) ( Elbow )
[P] 04/03/2017 - Nefi Ogando 60-day DL (03/30) ( Hand )
[P] 04/02/2017 - Nick Travieso 60-day DL (04/02) ( Shoulder )
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