Don Best - mlb single matchup

 
BALTIMORE (5-2) AT CINCINNATI (3-2)
Sunday,  Oct 26 2014 at 1:00 PM
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Premium Matchup InformationOffensive StatisticsDefensive Statistics
TeamsLinePF/PASUATSO/U/PRYPYTYRYPYTY
267: BALTIMORE
268: CINCINNATI
46.0
-1.5
27.6 / 14.9
22.3 / 23.3
5-2
3-2
5-2-0
3-3-0
3-4-0
2-4-0
131.0
111.5
255.7
241.8
386.7
353.3
86.9
145.8
257.6
270.3
344.4
416.2
Power Rating Line
The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated.
 Power Rating
 EstimateEdge
BALTIMORE-5
CINCINNATI  
Team Trends and Angles
All team trends listed below apply to the current game.
BALTIMORE - Recent ATS Trends
 Against the spreadOver/UnderStraight Up
 CurrentLast 3   Since 1992CurrentLast 3   Since 1992CurrentLast 3   Since 1992
DescriptionW-LW-LW-LO-UO-UO-UW-LW-LW-L
in games where the line is +3 to -34-211-1069-573-310-1258-744-214-973-60
in all games5-222-19164-1393-420-22145-1655-227-16177-138
in all lined games5-222-19164-1393-420-22145-1655-227-16177-138
as an underdog0-18-973-670-110-767-770-16-1250-97
as a road underdog of 3 points or less0-12-322-140-12-216-200-11-420-18
in road games2-110-1080-762-19-1169-882-110-1169-92
in road lined games2-110-1080-762-19-1169-882-110-1169-92
in a road game where the total is between 45.5 and 49 points0-14-510-70-13-56-100-14-55-12
in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points4-219-1545-413-316-1844-444-222-1342-49
against conference opponents2-214-16123-1081-313-18108-1292-219-12132-109
when playing with 6 or less days rest4-115-14122-1142-315-15118-1254-118-13137-111
versus division opponents2-16-865-611-25-1067-632-19-671-62
in games played on turf3-29-829-291-45-1325-353-211-725-35
in October games2-13-532-351-24-530-392-15-432-38
revenging a loss against opponent1-15-438-421-14-543-401-17-238-45
after 2 or more consecutive wins1-15-843-461-17-734-561-19-546-46
when playing against a team with a winning record1-010-666-571-010-760-691-010-755-75
in weeks 5 through 92-14-638-391-24-735-462-16-538-43

CINCINNATI - Recent ATS Trends
 Against the spreadOver/UnderStraight Up
 CurrentLast 3   Since 1992CurrentLast 3   Since 1992CurrentLast 3   Since 1992
DescriptionW-LW-LW-LO-UO-UO-UW-LW-LW-L
in games where the line is +3 to -31-210-964-621-27-1266-611-210-1065-66
in all games3-322-16167-1872-418-21179-1773-224-15145-216
in all lined games3-322-16167-1872-418-21179-1773-224-15145-216
as a favorite2-214-1056-592-212-1257-592-116-876-42
as a home favorite of 3 points or less0-00-211-130-00-212-130-00-213-13
in home games2-113-683-961-29-1195-842-014-588-92
in home lined games2-113-683-961-29-1195-842-014-588-92
in a home game where the total is between 45.5 and 49 points1-05-413-190-13-613-191-05-415-17
in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points3-215-1167-692-311-1559-793-115-1056-81
against conference opponents2-215-14120-1521-311-18136-1332-217-13102-174
when playing with 6 or less days rest2-218-12140-1521-314-16146-1472-120-10123-176
versus division opponents1-06-662-890-16-778-751-07-660-94
in games played on turf3-315-1099-1072-412-14105-1013-217-893-115
in October games0-33-833-532-16-449-380-24-627-61
after 2 or more consecutive losses0-02-255-680-02-262-620-02-237-89
when playing against a team with a winning record0-27-565-721-16-674-650-17-440-98
in weeks 5 through 90-33-940-542-17-452-410-24-731-65
Team Statistics
Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green.
BALTIMORE - Current Season Performance
 Straight UpAgainst SpreadTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsW-LO-UScoreHalfYardsYPPTOScoreHalfYardsYPPTO
All Games5-2+2.85-23-427.614.1386.7(6)1.414.95.4344.4(5.6)1.4
Road Games2-1+12-12-128.017.0379.7(6.3)1.719.34.3387.0(6)1.7
Last 3 Games2-1+12-11-230.019.3377.7(6.4)2.314.72.0346.7(5.2)2.0
Turf Games3-1+1.83-11-327.212.0392.0(5.8)1.211.56.2312.5(5.2)1.2
Division Games2-1+0.82-11-221.76.7373.3(5.3)1.016.78.3352.0(6.1)1.0
BALTIMORE - Current Season Statistics
 RushingPassingTotal
 PPGHalfFDTOPATT-YDSYPRCMP-ATTPCTYDSPYAATT-YDSYPPYPPT
Offense (All Games)27.614.122.930:2329-131(4.5)22-3563.7%256(7.3)64-387(6)(14)
Opponents Defensive Avg.25.612.422.131:3728-131(4.6)23-3563.5%254(7.1)64-384(6)(15)
Offense Road Games28.017.020.328:0928-140(5)21-3363.3%240(7.3)60-380(6.3)(13.6)
Defense (All Games)14.95.419.429:3723-87(3.7)24-3963.1%258(6.7)62-344(5.6)(23.2)
Opponents Offensive Avg.23.610.621.330:1327-110(4.1)23-3762.7%260(7)63-370(5.8)(15.6)
Defense Road Games19.34.322.331:5126-98(3.8)25-3963.6%289(7.3)65-387(6)(20)
BALTIMORE - Turnovers, Penalties and Special Teams Statistics
 Turnovers LostThird DownsFourth DownsKickoff ReturnsPunt ReturnsPenalties
 INTFLTODIFF#-MADEPCT#-MADEPCTKR-YDSYPKRPR-YDSYPPRPEN-YDS
Stats For (All Games)0.70.71.40.013-643.8%1-150.0%1-42(29.7)2-15(8.2)5-45
Opponents Avg. Stats Against0.90.71.61.313-540.6%1-058.6%2-45(23.7)16-2(8.5)7-58
Stats For (Road Games)0.71.01.70.012-433.3%1-025.0%1-44(33)1-5(5)6-46
Stats Against (All Games)0.60.91.4 13-540.4%1-016.7%1-31(21.7)1-11(8.7)7-68
Opponents Avg. Stats For0.40.71.1 13-538.9%1-039.0%2-49(22.8)18-2(9.2)7-63
Stats Against (Road Games)1.00.71.7 13-536.8%1-00.0%2-43(25.6)2-5(2.8)8-73

CINCINNATI - Current Season Performance
 Straight UpAgainst SpreadTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsW-LO-UScoreHalfYardsYPPTOScoreHalfYardsYPPTO
All Games3-2+0.53-32-422.310.7353.3(5.9)1.023.37.2416.2(5.6)1.7
Home Games2-0+22-11-231.315.3428.3(6.4)1.018.04.3355.3(5.2)2.0
Last 3 Games0-2-2.50-32-118.06.7322.7(5.7)1.735.713.3480.7(6.1)1.0
Turf Games3-1+1.53-22-326.812.8397.0(6.4)1.222.66.6398.2(5.4)1.6
Division Games1-0+11-00-123.015.0380.0(5.9)0.016.00.0420.0(5.1)2.0
CINCINNATI - Current Season Statistics
 RushingPassingTotal
 PPGHalfFDTOPATT-YDSYPRCMP-ATTPCTYDSPYAATT-YDSYPPYPPT
Offense (All Games)22.310.719.328:1127-111(4.1)21-3364.1%242(7.3)60-353(5.9)(15.8)
Opponents Defensive Avg.22.910.12130:4827-118(4.3)22-3463.6%242(7)62-360(5.8)(15.8)
Offense Home Games31.315.325.032:2436-160(4.5)22-3171.0%269(8.7)67-428(6.4)(13.7)
Defense (All Games)23.37.225.534:1930-146(4.8)26-4458.9%270(6.2)74-416(5.6)(17.8)
Opponents Offensive Avg.24.912.421.631:3627-109(4.1)23-3763.1%263(7.1)64-372(5.8)(14.9)
Defense Home Games18.04.323.332:3627-131(4.9)23-4156.5%224(5.4)68-355(5.2)(19.7)
CINCINNATI - Turnovers, Penalties and Special Teams Statistics
 Turnovers LostThird DownsFourth DownsKickoff ReturnsPunt ReturnsPenalties
 INTFLTODIFF#-MADEPCT#-MADEPCTKR-YDSYPKRPR-YDSYPPRPEN-YDS
Stats For (All Games)0.50.51.00.712-432.9%0-00.0%2-66(28.1)2-24(14.4)6-54
Opponents Avg. Stats Against0.90.81.71.713-541.4%1-033.3%2-42(24.1)16-2(8.5)6-56
Stats For (Home Games)1.00.01.01.013-648.7%0-00.0%1-58(43.2)1-9(8.7)9-75
Stats Against (All Games)1.20.51.7 14-536.8%1-166.7%3-77(25.6)2-7(4)8-69
Opponents Avg. Stats For0.70.61.3 13-540.5%1-046.3%2-43(23.4)17-2(8.4)7-65
Stats Against (Home Games)2.00.02.0 14-431.7%2-166.7%4-103(25.7)1-4(4.3)9-72
Average power rating of opponents played: BALTIMORE 18,  CINCINNATI 21
Current Season Results And Upcoming Games
Here are the most recent results and upcoming schedules for the two teams involved. Lines, total, game scores, results versus the spread, straight up and against the total are all displayed.
BALTIMORE - Season Results
 Team StatsOpp Stats
DateOpponentScoreSULineATSTot.O/URushingPassingTORushingPassingTO
9/7/2014CINCINNATI16-23L-1L43.5U20-9135-62-329226-7925-38-3010
9/11/2014PITTSBURGH26-6W-2.5W44U36-15721-29-166018-9922-37-2023
9/21/2014@ CLEVELAND23-21W-1.5W43O33-16019-31-217129-9119-25-2840
9/28/2014CAROLINA38-10W-3W42.5O30-12722-31-327026-6720-34-2481
10/5/2014@ INDIANAPOLIS13-20L2.5L49U15-9022-38-197330-11732-49-3054
10/12/2014@ TAMPA BAY48-17W-3W44O35-16921-29-306118-8724-44-2771
10/19/2014ATLANTA29-7W-7W49.5U36-12316-25-248316-6829-44-1861
10/26/2014@ CINCINNATI            
11/2/2014@ PITTSBURGH            
11/9/2014TENNESSEE            
11/24/2014@ NEW ORLEANS            

CINCINNATI - Season Results
 Team StatsOpp Stats
DateOpponentScoreSULineATSTot.O/URushingPassingTORushingPassingTO
9/7/2014@ BALTIMORE23-16W1W43.5U26-7925-38-301020-9135-62-3292
9/14/2014ATLANTA24-10W-6W49U45-17016-24-302019-9724-44-2123
9/21/2014TENNESSEE33-7W-6W45U31-11617-26-184128-14917-34-1772
10/5/2014@ NEW ENGLAND17-43L-3L46O18-7918-29-241346-22023-35-2850
10/12/2014CAROLINA37-37T-7L44O31-19333-43-320234-14729-46-2841
10/19/2014@ INDIANAPOLIS0-27L3L50.5U12-3218-38-103034-17127-42-3352
10/26/2014BALTIMORE            
11/2/2014JACKSONVILLE            
11/6/2014CLEVELAND            
11/16/2014@ NEW ORLEANS            
11/23/2014@ HOUSTON            
Head-to-Head Series History
Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups.
All games in this series since 1992
CINCINNATI is 18-18 against the spread versus BALTIMORE since 1992
BALTIMORE is 20-17 straight up against CINCINNATI since 1992
21 of 37 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1992
Games over the last 3 seasons
CINCINNATI is 3-2 against the spread versus BALTIMORE over the last 3 seasons
CINCINNATI is 3-2 straight up against BALTIMORE over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

All games played at CINCINNATI since 1992
CINCINNATI is 11-7 against the spread versus BALTIMORE since 1992
CINCINNATI is 11-7 straight up against BALTIMORE since 1992
9 of 18 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1992
Games played at CINCINNATI over the last 3 seasons.
CINCINNATI is 2-0 against the spread versus BALTIMORE over the last 3 seasons
CINCINNATI is 2-0 straight up against BALTIMORE over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

 RushingPassingTurnoversPenalties
DateTeamsScoreLineResultHalfFDTOPATT-YDSCMP-ATTYDSFLINTPEN-YDS
9/7/2014CINCINNATI2343.5SU ATS151630:3026-7925-38301004-45
 BALTIMORE16-1 Under02629:3020-9135-62329113-29
12/29/2013BALTIMORE1742.5 Over61726:0314-4730-50175036-56
 CINCINNATI34-7SU ATS172133:5730-11121-362810410-76
11/10/2013CINCINNATI1743.5 Under02137:5831-12024-51244039-134
 BALTIMORE20-2SU ATS171831:3530-8520-36104128-65
12/30/2012BALTIMORE1742.5 Under72335:3946-20619-331460110-102
 CINCINNATI23-4.5SU ATS7924:2121-4715-26142004-40
9/10/2012CINCINNATI1343 Over102032:2628-12922-37193113-41
 BALTIMORE44-7SU ATS172627:3423-12223-32308006-50
Team Line Action - Where the money is going!
Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%.
As indicated by the movement of the line, the betting public is favoring BALTIMORE in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in BALTIMORE games 55% of the time since 1992. (127-104)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in BALTIMORE games 76.7% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (23-7)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in CINCINNATI games 54% of the time since 1992. (143-122)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in CINCINNATI games 67.6% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (23-11)
Edge=BALTIMORE
 
As indicated by the movement of the total, the betting public is favoring the UNDER in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the total in BALTIMORE games 53.9% of the time since 1992. (139-119)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in BALTIMORE games 41.7% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (15-21)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in CINCINNATI games 46.8% of the time since 1992. (139-158)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in CINCINNATI games 33.3% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (12-24)
No Edge.
Key Player Injuries
BALTIMORE
[WR] 10/19/2014 - Marlon Brown "?" Sunday vs. Cincinnati ( Pelvis )
[G] 10/19/2014 - Kelechi Osemele "?" Sunday vs. Cincinnati ( Knee )
[DL] 10/18/2014 - Christo Bilukidi IR ( Ankle )
[DE] 10/09/2014 - Chris Canty out indefinitely ( Wrist )
[CB] 10/08/2014 - Asa Jackson IR - designated return ( Toe )
[T] 09/25/2014 - Eugene Monroe out indefinitely ( Knee )
[TE] 09/23/2014 - Dennis Pitta IR ( Hip )
[RB] 09/08/2014 - Ray Rice has been released ( Suspension )
[DT] 09/04/2014 - Terrence Cody out indefinitely ( Hip )
[OG] 09/04/2014 - Will Rackley IR ( Concussion )
[CB] 09/04/2014 - Aaron Ross IR ( Achilles )
[DL] 09/04/2014 - Brent Urban IR ( Knee )
[DL] 09/04/2014 - Kapron Lewis-Moore IR ( Achilles )
[WR] 09/04/2014 - Jeremy Butler IR ( Undisclosed )
CINCINNATI
[CB] 10/20/2014 - Leon Hall "?" Sunday vs. Baltimore ( Back )
[DT] 10/19/2014 - Brandon Thompson "?" Sunday vs. Baltimore ( Knee )
[WR] 10/19/2014 - A.J. Green "?" Sunday vs. Baltimore ( Toe )
[LB] 10/19/2014 - Emmanuel Lamur "?" Sunday vs. Baltimore ( Shoulder )
[LB] 10/19/2014 - Vontaze Burfict injured last game, "?" Sunday vs. Baltimore ( Neck )
[LB] 10/17/2014 - Rey Maualuga out indefinitely ( Hamstring )
[WR] 10/14/2014 - Marvin Jones IR ( Foot )
[LB] 10/08/2014 - Sean Porter IR ( Knee )
[TE] 09/23/2014 - Alex Smith IR ( Bicep )
[TE] 09/10/2014 - Tyler Eifert IR - designated return ( Elbow )
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