Cerrone Looks for 4th Straight Win Vs. Miller at UFC Fight Night 45

By: Matty Simo | Tuesday, July 15, 2014

One of the more entertaining lightweight matchups this year will take place on Wednesday night at UFC Fight Night 45 when sixth-ranked contender Donald "Cowboy" Cerrone battles No. 7 Jim Miller in the five-round main event at the Revel Casino in Atlantic City. Cerrone (23-6, 1 No-Contest) opened as a solid -250 favorite (bet $250 to win $100) at the LVH SuperBook in Las Vegas against Miller (24-4, 1 NC), who is a +210 underdog (bet $100 to win $210). The five-bout main card will get underway at 6 p.m. (PT) and be televised on FOX Sports 1 after four preliminary card fights start at 4 p.m.

Click here to check the latest MMA odds for UFC Fight Night 45.

Cerrone will be fighting for the third time in 2014 and for the fourth time over the last eight months, reeling off three straight wins over Adriano Martins, Evan Dunham and Edson Barboza, and the latter two will also be squaring off against each other in the co-main event. "Cowboy" has earned post-fight bonuses in each of those bouts, including Submission of the Night (vs. Dunham), Knockout of the Night (vs. Martins) and Performance of the Night (vs. Barboza). His only two losses in the past two years have come against lightweight champion Anthony Pettis via first-round TKO and vs. Rafael dos Anjos by unanimous decision, and he is 12-3 in his last 15 fights overall dating back to Sept. 30, 2010.

Miller is 11-2 with a No-Contest in his last 14 bouts, with the two losses coming against Nate Diaz (second-round guillotine submission choke) in a lightweight title eliminator fight and Benson Henderson (UD), who would go on to become lightweight champ before giving up the belt to Pettis in a first-round submission loss at UFC 164. Diaz was a very difficult opponent for him because he gave up four inches in height and five inches in reach, and size could definitely be another disadvantage for him here against Cerrone. Miller is three inches shorter than his foe at 5-foot-8, and Cerrone will have a 2-inch edge in reach.

Both fighters are very exciting to watch, as they have totaled 12 finishes among their past 20 bouts combined. Cerrone has gone the distance four times in his last 10 fights (7-3), going 2-2 in those decisions, also registering three submissions and two knockouts during that stretch. Meanwhile, Miller has seen three of his past 10 (7-2, 1 NC) go to the judges, stopping five opponents in his last six wins with four subs and one TKO.

The winner of this bout will put himself one step closer to a possible title shot against the winner of Pettis vs. Gilbert Melendez later this year. Cerrone has publicly stated that he wants to set the UFC record for most fights in one year with six, and he will likely need a quick stoppage here against Miller in order to have any chance of accomplishing that feat in 2014.

Pick: Cerrone by submission

Other UFC Fight Night 45 Picks: Barboza -250 at MGM/Miraga and Pat Healy +140 at William Hill

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